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Avedee Eikew's avatar

Yeah but still even where it's at 10% that is still a good chunk of the population. Some districts will be more receptive than others though but I doubt cutting medicaid is popular in most of those <10% districts. Stefanik's seat seems to be over 20% assuming we actually get the special hope the Dem focuses on that. If I remember right Paul Ryan's budget that sought deep cuts was part of the reason Hochul was able to win the Western NY House seat she won in 2011 and narrowly lost in 2012.

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JanusIanitos's avatar

Yeah I think this will absolutely hurt them and in swing districts. Even 5% is still a lot of potential voters, especially since those people have friends and family that might get pissed off too.

I was more remarking on how hard to target the most Medicaid reliant districts are. Almost all of them are either deep blue or deep red, very little chance of them becoming competitive.

Although it would be amazing (and also hilarious) if Johnson pissed off enough of his district through this and similar bills that he got the Eric Cantor treatment.

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