Holding them to basically a draw in a R+4 environment where the Republican POTUS won the popular vote is crazy, even with the court drawn assists we got.
Considering the 2024 election results, a 222-213 breakdown isn't bad. It certainly sets Democrats up for the opportunity to potentially get bigger gains in the 2026 midterms depending on how Trump's presidency ends up unfolding.
Downballot, 2024 is basically 2022 but with a competent New York D party on the one hand and Shapiro/Whitmer not heading the Pennsylvania/Michigan ticket on the other.
If things ended where they stand, the House would be be 222-213.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/06/us/elections/results-house-races-tracker.html
The best I can see the Democrats doing is 217. And that would require that they hold what they have and win AK, CA 13, 41 and 45.
Fantastic if we can reduce the Republican majority to a single seat: 218–217!
thanks for posting; imo even the worst case scenario is not too bad here
Holding them to basically a draw in a R+4 environment where the Republican POTUS won the popular vote is crazy, even with the court drawn assists we got.
Considering the 2024 election results, a 222-213 breakdown isn't bad. It certainly sets Democrats up for the opportunity to potentially get bigger gains in the 2026 midterms depending on how Trump's presidency ends up unfolding.
Downballot, 2024 is basically 2022 but with a competent New York D party on the one hand and Shapiro/Whitmer not heading the Pennsylvania/Michigan ticket on the other.