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Mike in MD's avatar

Applying ranked choice here, Cuomo crosses 50% in the seventh round. By the tenth and final one, he defeats Mamdani 70-30 in a one-on-one.

It should be remembered that there's still time for things to change; had polling in March 2021 held up, then Mayor Andrew Yang would be running for reelection. But Cuomo is much stronger than Yang, and defeating him will probably require a quick coalescing around one serious opposition candidate, and I'm not at all sure if Mamdani is or should be it, at least from an electoral perspective.

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