They’re all the closest wins from last time. 5 from California are on it. And I think NJ 9 was a bit of a fluke and that Nellie Pou won’t have much trouble winning next time.
That’s one of many districts here that could have a natural blue snapback. But understandably the DCCC doesn’t want to get too certain about that, at least not yet.
This is mostly a list of predictable choices based on 2024, with few if any surprising inclusions or omissions.
The NV seats will be on the DCCC protection lists for the foreseeable future as the state legislature redistricted them so that none are safe. Them being competitive every cycle is the point so that we have a better shot at winning all of them. Titus’s seat is more a lean/likely D seat but might as well lump her in since the DCCC reserves money by media market and all three seats are Las Vegas metro seats.
NV trended about the same as the rest of the nation so I share your concern but it could certainly snap back a bit.
Her district used to be a Dem packed Las Vegas seat and then the state legislature unpacked it in redistricting for the 2020’s to benefit the other two Dem Las Vegas seats.
But, that’s why NV voted blue for four straight POTUS elections and then went red in 2024 while we didn’t lose any House seats that year. The NV Dem trifecta elected in 2020 created a map that is built on maximizing Dem majorities even if we have to work really hard.
NV is going to swing but their population distribution is perfectly set-up for Dem gerrymanders to hold. I can’t think of another state where the Dems are packed so tightly except for UT, which politically and culturally functions as a Wario version of NV.
Frontline Dems for 2026 announced. All three Nevada members are on it and that's frankly all I need to know about where the state is heading.
https://x.com/dccc/status/1897641375539061100?t=08sfjyjwNiEDexdJZrrTcg&s=19
They’re all the closest wins from last time. 5 from California are on it. And I think NJ 9 was a bit of a fluke and that Nellie Pou won’t have much trouble winning next time.
That’s one of many districts here that could have a natural blue snapback. But understandably the DCCC doesn’t want to get too certain about that, at least not yet.
This is mostly a list of predictable choices based on 2024, with few if any surprising inclusions or omissions.
The NV seats will be on the DCCC protection lists for the foreseeable future as the state legislature redistricted them so that none are safe. Them being competitive every cycle is the point so that we have a better shot at winning all of them. Titus’s seat is more a lean/likely D seat but might as well lump her in since the DCCC reserves money by media market and all three seats are Las Vegas metro seats.
NV trended about the same as the rest of the nation so I share your concern but it could certainly snap back a bit.
If I’m not mistaken, Titus benefits in part because certain portions of Clark County are included in NV-01.
Her district used to be a Dem packed Las Vegas seat and then the state legislature unpacked it in redistricting for the 2020’s to benefit the other two Dem Las Vegas seats.
Per her own words, “I got totally fucked.”
https://thenevadaglobe.com/congress/rep-dina-titus-i-got-totally-fcked-by-the-nevada-democratic-legislature/amp/
But, that’s why NV voted blue for four straight POTUS elections and then went red in 2024 while we didn’t lose any House seats that year. The NV Dem trifecta elected in 2020 created a map that is built on maximizing Dem majorities even if we have to work really hard.
NV is going to swing but their population distribution is perfectly set-up for Dem gerrymanders to hold. I can’t think of another state where the Dems are packed so tightly except for UT, which politically and culturally functions as a Wario version of NV.