NYC voters elected Adams in 2021 after heaps of evidence that he was a deeply flawed candidate that would make a poor mayor. They also elected republicans to the office for two full decades between Giuliani and Bloomberg. In 2024 there was something like a 15 point shift to Trump in the city, relative to 2020.
NYC voters elected Adams in 2021 after heaps of evidence that he was a deeply flawed candidate that would make a poor mayor. They also elected republicans to the office for two full decades between Giuliani and Bloomberg. In 2024 there was something like a 15 point shift to Trump in the city, relative to 2020.
History would suggest that NYC voters are more than capable of voting for one of two prominent poor choices in a primary. The core issue isn't unique to NYC, to be clear.
At the end of the day prominent candidates, even deeply flawed ones, get a lot of media attention. With there being two such high profile deeply flawed candidates in the primary, the general trend is that we should expect the majority of media attention to focus on those two. That will make it difficult for someone like Lander to break through and build a lane for themself, in order to get enough people to rank one specific not-Adams not-Cuomo candidate on their RCV lists.
I simply don't agree because Adams is not popular and has had a mountain of negative publicity about corruption(and frankly weird behavior also); I think an alternative candidate will emerge that will win(probably a Hispanic imo)
Basically what Januslantios said. I'll just add that NYC voters have shown poor turnout recently and the entire area has moved to the right. They are looking for strong leadership to deal with the mountain of problems that NYC has, and Cuomo appears strong. In that way, he is the most Trump like politician we have. All of the other people currently being talked about are either too liberal or too weak, or both, to stand up to Cuomo, who has way more name recognition than anyone else out there. As for someone not currently being talked about that could come in and beat him, that would probably be the AG, James. But I don't think she wants it.
NYC voters elected Adams in 2021 after heaps of evidence that he was a deeply flawed candidate that would make a poor mayor. They also elected republicans to the office for two full decades between Giuliani and Bloomberg. In 2024 there was something like a 15 point shift to Trump in the city, relative to 2020.
History would suggest that NYC voters are more than capable of voting for one of two prominent poor choices in a primary. The core issue isn't unique to NYC, to be clear.
At the end of the day prominent candidates, even deeply flawed ones, get a lot of media attention. With there being two such high profile deeply flawed candidates in the primary, the general trend is that we should expect the majority of media attention to focus on those two. That will make it difficult for someone like Lander to break through and build a lane for themself, in order to get enough people to rank one specific not-Adams not-Cuomo candidate on their RCV lists.
I simply don't agree because Adams is not popular and has had a mountain of negative publicity about corruption(and frankly weird behavior also); I think an alternative candidate will emerge that will win(probably a Hispanic imo)
I certainly don't think it's guaranteed that Adams or Cuomo win, but I worry that it's reasonably likely.
Hopefully your confidence proves merited and they both go down in flames.
Adams is not winning. He’s not getting over 50%. He barely got it last time.
Basically what Januslantios said. I'll just add that NYC voters have shown poor turnout recently and the entire area has moved to the right. They are looking for strong leadership to deal with the mountain of problems that NYC has, and Cuomo appears strong. In that way, he is the most Trump like politician we have. All of the other people currently being talked about are either too liberal or too weak, or both, to stand up to Cuomo, who has way more name recognition than anyone else out there. As for someone not currently being talked about that could come in and beat him, that would probably be the AG, James. But I don't think she wants it.