21 Comments
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alienalias's avatar

Surprised by Feenstra losing and that Johnson might not even make the runoff. Think we're seeing something similar to the 2018 primaries where most House members seeking promotion lost nomination bc voters were punishing them for aiding an unpopular Trump government.

Encouraging folks to donate to the Dem-aligned nominee in MT's nonpartisan SC, Amy Eddy, who's seeking to replace retiring liberal justice, Beth Baker, and to keep a liberal majority on the court.

The largest city in SD, Sioux Falls, has an open mayoral election will go to a runoff that we could flip with a Dem challenge from Jamie Smith (our 2022 gov nominee against Noem's reelection) against Christine Erickson (former state rep).

The utility rate backlash seems to be continuing to some extent. In both Repub primaries seats up from the MT Public Service Commission, the open seat was won by I think a less establishment former state rep and the incumbent seat is barely hanging on from losing to a perennial candidate.

alienalias's avatar

In other news, there's a lawsuit seeking to punish the Dem nominee (Cindy Burbank) and Legal Marijuana Now nominee (Mike Marvin) for being bad faith candidates who will drop out for Dan Osborn. This basically seems to be the same kind of thing that SOS Bob Evnen failed to make to the state SC asking to strike Burbank from the primary ballot, so idk if punishing them will succeed.

Separately, Evnen has asked the state AG's office for legal advice on removing Burbank from the ballot once she's able after the primary result is certified on 6/8. Evnen wants to keep her on, so she may have to sue to be removed.

https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2026/05/29/complaints-about-u-s-senate-candidates-who-hinted-at-helping-osborn-sent-to-nebraska-ag/

https://nebraskaexaminer.com/2026/05/26/u-s-senate-nominee-cindy-burbank-might-have-to-sue-to-get-her-name-off-the-general-election-ballot/

Mike's avatar

LOTS of good information!

Jeff Singer's avatar

Thank you!

Kildere53's avatar

I hadn't even realized there was another Republican on the ballot in CA-06 besides Kiley (who, let's face it, is still a Republican despite officially switching to Independent). Hopefully the rest of the ballots will push Richard Pan ahead of that Republican.

On the plus side, I quickly skimmed through the CA Legislature results this morning, and it didn't look like Democrats would be locked out of any races there.

DM's avatar

As a person with disabilities (I've been mostly in and out of a wheelchair for 15 years), it would be wonderful to see Josh Turek join Tammy Duckworth to positively represent the disabled community and overshadow a noxious governor of Texas.

The can do attitude and actions of these two is admirable.

alienalias's avatar

Agree with this and having more visibly disabled members and who use wheelchairs, but just pointing out there are quite a few more disabled electeds beyond Duckworth and Abbott.

anonymouse's avatar

Seeing Turek pull himself and his wheelchair up full blown steps makes me want to not complain about anything physically ever again. Impressive stuff.

alienalias's avatar

Gently, this kind of "inspiration" fits into the charity model of disability. Turek is passionate and understands from his own life the need to make decisions with disabled people in mind as users and recipients of government programs. That's what we should be lauding, not his ability to simply live his life as a wheelchair user.

DM's avatar

The OC board of supervisors district 5 is my district, and given how lopsided the early vote was toward Republicans, it is highly likely Katrina Foley overcomes her narrow deficit and continues Democratic representation of the district.

anonymouse's avatar

Would love to hear Laura Belin’s and Tyler Mills’s thoughts on a Lahn vs. Sand race.

alienalias's avatar

Belin posted this in the chat a day or so ago. My memory of her accompanying comment was that she thought Lahn is actually a stronger candidate against Sand bc Feenstra doesn't connect with Repub voters nearly as much to drive them to vote.

https://laurabelin.substack.com/p/as-feenstra-sinks-gop-establishment

MPC's avatar

Like I said last night, if Turek manages to flip the IA-SEN seat in November, then Wahls can run to replace Grassley in 2028.

TylerDurden's avatar

On another note, John Fetterman has described Graham Platner as a “creep” and he “wouldn’t carry water for that guy”. Platner should now win in a landslide…

Hudson Democrat's avatar

i know this has been endlessly litigated, but good lord that stroke had to have some sort of an impact.

Kevin H.'s avatar

Will the rest of the vote be more democratic in California? Hopefully Pan can come back in CA-6

Guy Cohen's avatar

Late ballots are expected to be much bluer. Those ballots that put the other R up was the election day vote I believe.

Paleo's avatar

It usually is.

alienalias's avatar

From Daniel Nichanian:

https://x.com/Taniel/status/2062014498630730054

"Context: In the first batches of votes counted in the 2022 California primary, Rick Caruso led Karen Bass 42/37. The final result of the primary had Bass ahead 43% to 36%.

In the November election, the first batch had Caruso up 51/49. Bass won 55/45."

Richard Benson's avatar

A bad night for my “choose an Asian woman in a matchup with a Republican woman” challenge. I sent $50 to Tina Shah and to Jasmeet Bain, believing them to have the most propitious opportunities. Now I’ve got $50 on Nabilah Parkes. Should she come up short I guess I’ll comb the states and try to come up with a promising State

Senate candidate trying for a GOP held office. Be it Parkes or someone identified later, she will join Mary Peltola, JoAnna Mendoza, and Keisha Lance Bottoms as measures of my hypothesis that Democratic women exceed expectations in matchups with Republicans.

Onward and upward!

Richard Benson's avatar

Meant to write “my ‘choose an Asian woman in a matchup with a Republican officeholder‘ challenge.”