My only complaint is that the poll did not include other down ballot races, including the LG and AG races. Ironically they have Josh Stein colored red on their poll instead of blue. I would have said they were using the colo(u)r scheme that the rest of the Anglosphere nations use, except Slob was colored red in the Presidential poll.
Clearly so far; both campaigns are going for it; I can remember Obama won it; then next time around kinda saw the writing on the wall and didn't contest it(personally I believe that Beasley deserved real funding and might have won; and the Senate balance of today would be much better for our side)
North Carolina ECU poll: Trump 48 Harris 47. Stein 47 Robinson 41.
https://surveyresearch-ecu.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-election-heats-up-trump-leads-harris-by-1-point-in-north-carolina-stein-widens-advantage-over-robinson-in-race-for-governor
Subsamples are usually a mess, but the poll had Harris leading by 10 among indies. In the 2020 exit poll, Biden won them by just 4.
How many Indies did they sample?
341 R, 313 D, 266 I
https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fcdn.filestackcontent.com%2FMNP1RnTniAUhS6vxhMbA&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK
So we should probably disregard that crosstab.
266 is a decent size for a crosstab. The really hinky ones usually come when they get about 40 people and have to extrapolate from that.
Do you disagree with the DownBallot standard (which I'm assuming they will uphold) of not publishing info about polls with less than 300 respondents?
The poll has over 900..??..
That crosstab does not.
Not the poll itself; gotcha
My only complaint is that the poll did not include other down ballot races, including the LG and AG races. Ironically they have Josh Stein colored red on their poll instead of blue. I would have said they were using the colo(u)r scheme that the rest of the Anglosphere nations use, except Slob was colored red in the Presidential poll.
Seems to me at this point that polling is showing that NC is becoming a closer state to contest for Harris than even Biden back in 2020.
Clearly so far; both campaigns are going for it; I can remember Obama won it; then next time around kinda saw the writing on the wall and didn't contest it(personally I believe that Beasley deserved real funding and might have won; and the Senate balance of today would be much better for our side)
Agreed. Beasley was quite a good Senate candidate as well.
We have another chance with Thom Tillis in 2026.
Gov. Cooper is apparently considering taking on Tillis in 2026. Tillis would have to survive a potential primary first!! 😂