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ArcticStones's avatar

LET MIKE HERD RABID CATS!

Besides comity, there is absolute no reason for Governor Hochul to schedule the special election for the congressional seat vacated by Elise Stefanik any earlier than absolutely necessary. And we all know how mutual the Republican Party’s sense of comity is!

Trump’s approval rating is already 15–20 percent lower than the approval Joe Biden enjoyed at this point of his presidency. And although Stefanik won her Red district with 61 percent of the vote, with Trump’s plummeting popularity, who knows how "safely Red" NY-21 will be when her aspiring Republican successor faces voters.

Please, we need to make Speaker Mike Johnson’s job of herding rabid cats as difficult as possible.

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Jonathan's avatar

and of course we don't know the Republicans nominee yet; where as the Democratic party put up a very viable alternative

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Toiler On the Sea's avatar

Trump's approval is already falling fairly preciptiously over just the past month . . .it's fallen a lot quicker than I would've anticipated, but he's also governed much more extreme than most anticipated as well.

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Tigercourse's avatar

Yeah, looking at 538, the crossover to unfavorable has occurred. It remains insane to me that he's at 47% favorable. But at least we have some public sentiment moving against him.

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DM's avatar

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/06/trump-arab-americans-dearborn-michigan-00203018

And Arab Americans living in Michigan seem to think after Trump's position on Gaza that they may have made a mistake voting for Trump or sitting it out.

May have?

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Henrik's avatar

No shit

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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

They should have known who he is. My sympathy is dried up here. Same with Politico getting blacklisted by the whole administration. As a lunatic once said, "You get what you f***ing deserve."

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Mike in MD's avatar

They should join the "We voted for Trump but hope he won't cut our benefits" people at a concert by the Symphony of the World's Smallest Violins. That show will need a big venue.

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Burt Kloner's avatar

who was that MI congresswoman railing against Biden/Harris?

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Ben F.'s avatar

His approval, unfortunately, is still net positive on 538. (I don't know all the polling details of how approval is different from favorability, but it is tracked separately.)

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Mike in MD's avatar

It's probably puffed up by older and/or partisan polls, or those with dubious methodology (ActiVote only polling its own users?), though I don't know the exact weighting especially as polling especially outside of an election season has been erratic in both quality and quantity. Most of the nonpartisan recent ones have roughly an even approval/disapproval split.

One that sticks out negatively but humourously is TIPP "Insights". The results aren't too bad (46 approve 41 disapprove, with substantial undecideds, which is generally expected for a new president in a divided country), but the writeup is flat-out comical: "The Shining City on the Hill has a new sheriff—and Americans are behind him. Optimism is rising as voters rally behind President Trump, backing his leadership.." Do they expect anyone outside of MAGAland to take them seriously? They almost certainly didn't say the same of Biden or Obama whose initial approval was much higher and dispproval lower.

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DiesIrae's avatar

TIPP has always been an ok pollster with absolute Republican hack writeups.

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