29 Comments
User's avatar
Techno00's avatar

That CA Superintendent poll and MD Question 3 poll don’t look good.

michaelflutist's avatar

Superintendent leading by 6 with lots of undecideds doesn't seem bad to me.

brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

Superintendent is officially nonpartisan so polling is going to look weird.

TylerDurden's avatar

My apologies from NY here as to why Shapiro can be up 20 and my governor leading by just single digits in a way bluer state

michaelflutist's avatar

Apologies? Come on. Besides, 50-41 when there are no more undecideds will be double digits.

Paleo's avatar

She's never been all that popular and Democrats have held the office for 20 years.

JazElections's avatar

To be fair, PA Democrats have held the governor's office for almost 24 years apart from 4, but their governor is usually popular.

FeingoldFan's avatar

Here are the most recent GCB polls since the start of September from different pollsters:

YouGov: D+14

Marquette: D+13

NPR/Marist: D+12

Quinnipiac: D+11

Verasight: D+10

Quantus: D+9

Cygnal: D+9

CNN/SSRS: D+8

Times/Siena: D+8

Rasmussen: D+8

Ipsos: D+8

Beacon Research: D+7

Morning Consult: D+7

Zogby: D+6

The Rainey Center: D+6

Hart Research Associates: D+4

Paleo's avatar

Average is roughly a 9 point lead.

JazElections's avatar

TN-Gov: Speaking of potential independent spoilers, a 4th candidate, professor Lauren Pinkston, is picking up steam as an alternative to Democrat Jerri Green. A 4-way between Blackburn, Green, Hatley and Pinkston would be quite interesting.

AL-Gov: Sen. Tommy Tuberville recently released a 20 minute Senate speech decrying that trans people and furries should not be air traffic controllers. It's on his YouTube, but there's no media coverage.

In other news, the Oceanic nation of Nauru, one of the 195 UN recognized countries, renamed to Naoero (now-air-oh).

Techno00's avatar

I can’t even imagine what the world is thinking when they hear shit like what Tuberville is saying.

Miguel Parreno's avatar

“There goes one of the dumbest people on the planet. His skull must be filled with dust bunnies.”

Paleo's avatar

Forget it Jake, it's Alabama.

JazElections's avatar

IA-Gov: Just saw a post that read "Rob Sand attacked by arsonists, blames Rob Glass."

Miguel Parreno's avatar

Bonta and Newsom stab Entertainment Industry workers in the back. I can’t bring myself to vote for a Republican but I sure as hell won’t vote for Bonta and I’ll encourage a robust primary challenge in 2030. https://deadline.com/2026/09/paramount-settles-antitrust-suit-to-seal-warner-bros-deal-1237109223/?fbclid=IwY2xjawUeRvtwZG9mA2V4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDzQwOTk2MjYyMzA4NTYwOQABHonHPEyIrRK7FH-tUq6R9D3Nr-j4DIuKMlUlAKyz3lxiIiCGUQfHgVeeyCrK_aem_XE1-0_GzvTOTkacnk-sJhA

Paleo's avatar

They stabbed news consumers in the back. Newsom deserves a lot more of the blame. He was bad mouthing the lawsuit from the start and groveling to the Ellisons.

Miguel Parreno's avatar

I 100% blame Newsom more. I’ve lived in California long enough to not trust him on anything of significance. He’s blocked plenty of progressive policies if they go against his donor base. But Bonta is spineless to cave to that pressure. He has agency and ultimately this was his choice. I sure hope he doesn’t want a promotion because Bonta will not get my vote, ever.

Zero Cool's avatar

Considering Paramount Skydance was close to moving out of California, this deal Bonta reached is more of a lesser of two evils. The ripple effects of the move would have been much worse in terms of job losses. I'm not saying this as endorsing Bonta's compromise with the company so much as not being able to fathom a big film studio moving out of Hollywood.

I would certainly like CA Democrats to show more spine and push to get film studios back to being film studios again with less consolidation. I've never trusted Newsom since he was Mayor of San Francisco and that hasn't changed here. He didn't do anything to revitalize film production in the city back in the 2000's even after efforts on his part to get the ball rolling.

Miguel Parreno's avatar

Ellison was bluffing. They weren’t actually going to leave California. The industry is here. It’s always been here. The infrastructure is here. It would be the height of hubris to believe that just because you have a lot of money that you can shift an entire industry base to a different state. He would have bitten off more than he could chew.

In an ideal world if Ellison tried to move the state should seize the Studio Lots and sell them at a bargain to companies that will actually make things here in LA. They should fund more independent productions.

Mike Johnson's avatar

Crypto spending against Brown, even after he backed away from some of his 2024 criticism, and in a year when the public has turned heavily against Crypto/AI/Data Centers, should signal to Democrats that there is little upside or gain from trying to compromise with this industry.

Marcus Graly's avatar

I think it's just revenge for the Clarity Act failing. Ironically if the Republicans had just agreed to the provisions that limited Trump's ability to enrich himself it would have probably passed.

Buckeye73's avatar

Here in Ohio we are seeing ad after ad about how Sherrod Brown is trying to force minors to have transgender surgery.

Techno00's avatar

Luckily, polling seems to indicate that that is one of the least important issues for voters (if I remember right), so the GOP’s attacks likely just come off as desperate.

michaelflutist's avatar

He should sue for libel. They shouldn't be able to get away with lying like that

JazElections's avatar

Senate: Cook shifts Georgia to Likely D, Kansas to Lean R and South Carolina to Likely R, all in favor of Democrats.