We also don't have many data points here. Since 2016 we've only had two data points for regular elections that didn't have him on the ballot. Those being the two midterms of 2018 and 2022, which as is common had their own things going on.
I think on this axis of thought it comes down to if a republican candidate can successfully take up t…
We also don't have many data points here. Since 2016 we've only had two data points for regular elections that didn't have him on the ballot. Those being the two midterms of 2018 and 2022, which as is common had their own things going on.
I think on this axis of thought it comes down to if a republican candidate can successfully take up that mantle in the eyes of the conservative voter base. It's not an easy task, and I wouldn't bet on anyone being able to do it. But "not easy" isn't the same as "not possible." For that matter it is not their only path to victory again.
We're going to have closely divided electorates for the foreseeable future I expect. The question is how the coalitions within them look.
We also don't have many data points here. Since 2016 we've only had two data points for regular elections that didn't have him on the ballot. Those being the two midterms of 2018 and 2022, which as is common had their own things going on.
I think on this axis of thought it comes down to if a republican candidate can successfully take up that mantle in the eyes of the conservative voter base. It's not an easy task, and I wouldn't bet on anyone being able to do it. But "not easy" isn't the same as "not possible." For that matter it is not their only path to victory again.
We're going to have closely divided electorates for the foreseeable future I expect. The question is how the coalitions within them look.