The Cook Political Report has a poll out for NC-Gov that has Stein leading Robinson 59-35%; I can't help but think that this is significant for all races in NC
The Cook Political Report has a poll out for NC-Gov that has Stein leading Robinson 59-35%; I can't help but think that this is significant for all races in NC
Trump never hit 50% in NC in either 2016 or 2020 while Romney did in 2012. Clinton and Biden underperformed Roy Cooper by about 3% while Trump was about 1 and 3 points better than the GoP nominee for governor. there will definitely be a larger gap this time but Trump has little margin and if his base slips even a little, Harris has a great shot in NC
And the better news here is the Trump campaign has written off the district EV; so the other committees will have to backstop Bacon; but probably nothing more is coming to him from the RNC\Trump campaign
A competitive election in NE-2 that favors Democrats also will indirectly benefit Dan Osborn. Encourages more left leaning and moderate voters to not only turn out to vote for Vargas, but also potentially for Osborn whose also has quite a progressive platform. Vargas would also be building up his own network, infrastructure, and fundraising to turn out and win over voter, which puts less burden on Osborn to spend, all while not needing to coordinate at all with Vargas and Democrats. Finally, the more voters that turn out and vote for Vargas, and Osborn in turn, means Osborn needs to win less voters in the 1st and 3rd thus increasing his margin for error.
The Cook Political Report has a poll out for NC-Gov that has Stein leading Robinson 59-35%; I can't help but think that this is significant for all races in NC
Trump never hit 50% in NC in either 2016 or 2020 while Romney did in 2012. Clinton and Biden underperformed Roy Cooper by about 3% while Trump was about 1 and 3 points better than the GoP nominee for governor. there will definitely be a larger gap this time but Trump has little margin and if his base slips even a little, Harris has a great shot in NC
Larry SabatoтАЩs Crystal Ball has moved NE-2 from "Toss up" to "Leans Democratic". This is where Tony Vargas is looking to unseat Don Bacon.
And the better news here is the Trump campaign has written off the district EV; so the other committees will have to backstop Bacon; but probably nothing more is coming to him from the RNC\Trump campaign
A competitive election in NE-2 that favors Democrats also will indirectly benefit Dan Osborn. Encourages more left leaning and moderate voters to not only turn out to vote for Vargas, but also potentially for Osborn whose also has quite a progressive platform. Vargas would also be building up his own network, infrastructure, and fundraising to turn out and win over voter, which puts less burden on Osborn to spend, all while not needing to coordinate at all with Vargas and Democrats. Finally, the more voters that turn out and vote for Vargas, and Osborn in turn, means Osborn needs to win less voters in the 1st and 3rd thus increasing his margin for error.
What are the candidates like in the other Council of State races? I know the GOP candidate for Superintendent of Public Instruction is pretty bad.
Actually I don't know; sorry