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sacman701's avatar

Also Texas hasn't elected a Democrat statewide in 30 years. There's much less of an incentive to poll it accurately than you would have with a more competitive state.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Or a more obviously competitive one.

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ArcticStones's avatar

Hard to credibly claim that Allred–Cruz isn’t obviously competitive.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Agreed. But thinking the presidential race is competitive there is a bridge too far for many people. I think it could be and wouldn't rate the state more than Likely-R for the presidential race.

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sacman701's avatar

The presidential race might be competitive-ish, but with Harris' best poll all cycle showing her down 3 there isn't a reason to think it's seriously in play.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I don't disagree, but if all hell really breaks loose, Florida and Texas would be the next states after North Carolina to flip.

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