Former Charlotte NC mayor Harvey Gantt says "I think we've got a problem." Regarding black vote in NC. He is talking about early vote numbers for AAs being under 10% compared to 2020. Of course its an uneven comparison. Regardless he says he hoped it would be higher.
I dont know that it is though. From my personal observations, black people (at least where I live) tended to take COVID more seriously. I'm still far more likely to see a black person wearing a mask in public than a white person.
So it would make sense that they were also more likely to mail vote or vote early (when its presumably less crowded) in 2020, but not necessarily in 2024.
Or maybe low propensity dem voters just are less motivated this year and our chances of winning rely mostly on high propensity moderates switching sides.
More times that one would think! Many people have been making Skaje's point elsewhere. Most Democratic strategists were expecting a sharp drop in Democratic early voting relative to Republican.
No amount of data or reasoning can change their minds, because they donтАЩt actually want to learn more. I for one canтАЩt wait for the same people to mysteriously disappear once the election is over after they succeeded in doing what they wanted to accomplish at TDB. IтАЩve seen this movie before.
Anyone who doesnтАЩt understand the impacts of the pandemic on vote method choice and how much thatтАЩs going to change in this election at this point is being willfully obtuse. Whether it be someone here or a useful idiot in the party for the media to use as yet another Dems in disarray hit piece (which they canтАЩt ever get enough of).
In case people have forgotten this over the last 7 years: EVERY SINGLE ELECTION since after 2016 has had similar articles written about Democrats. Being worried, being in chaos, being in confusion, with thousands of wasted words after Democrats end up winning the elections yet again when lo and behold it ends up that the party does mostly know what itтАЩs doing.
FWIW any western party who has won as much as Democrats have in elections with a near unending win streak would kill for that level of success. Could that change in 2024? 1000%! Will it? Press тАЬxтАЭ to doubt.
Former Charlotte NC mayor Harvey Gantt says "I think we've got a problem." Regarding black vote in NC. He is talking about early vote numbers for AAs being under 10% compared to 2020. Of course its an uneven comparison. Regardless he says he hoped it would be higher.
https://x.com/BowTiePolitics/status/1850869393187573890?t=crKLIyaRsLVA5pcAtsuPig&s=19
Maybe.
I dont know that it is though. From my personal observations, black people (at least where I live) tended to take COVID more seriously. I'm still far more likely to see a black person wearing a mask in public than a white person.
So it would make sense that they were also more likely to mail vote or vote early (when its presumably less crowded) in 2020, but not necessarily in 2024.
Or maybe low propensity dem voters just are less motivated this year and our chances of winning rely mostly on high propensity moderates switching sides.
How many times do people have to read Skaje's comment above before they *stop trying to compare the 2024 early voting dynamics to 2020*?
More times that one would think! Many people have been making Skaje's point elsewhere. Most Democratic strategists were expecting a sharp drop in Democratic early voting relative to Republican.
To explain what's going on in PA this year has been EXHAUSTING! And it's both sides too. Depressed Democrats & Gloating Republicans.
No amount of data or reasoning can change their minds, because they donтАЩt actually want to learn more. I for one canтАЩt wait for the same people to mysteriously disappear once the election is over after they succeeded in doing what they wanted to accomplish at TDB. IтАЩve seen this movie before.
Anyone who doesnтАЩt understand the impacts of the pandemic on vote method choice and how much thatтАЩs going to change in this election at this point is being willfully obtuse. Whether it be someone here or a useful idiot in the party for the media to use as yet another Dems in disarray hit piece (which they canтАЩt ever get enough of).
In case people have forgotten this over the last 7 years: EVERY SINGLE ELECTION since after 2016 has had similar articles written about Democrats. Being worried, being in chaos, being in confusion, with thousands of wasted words after Democrats end up winning the elections yet again when lo and behold it ends up that the party does mostly know what itтАЩs doing.
FWIW any western party who has won as much as Democrats have in elections with a near unending win streak would kill for that level of success. Could that change in 2024? 1000%! Will it? Press тАЬxтАЭ to doubt.
Remember, Harris doesn't have to win NC to win the election.
But winning North Carolina would place the election beyond the "Margin of Steal".
I take your point, and I didn't say it was unimportant, but we do have to keep things in perspective.