Looking at past returns in Montana, I was struck by how consistent Dem presidential performances returns have been there. In 6 of the last 10 elections, our candidate has fallen in the 4.1% band from 37.6% to 41.7% (underperformances from Gore and Hillary, overperformances from Obama '08 and Dukakis). By that measure, it makes it the fifth-most consistent state, with only MS (3.2%), PA (3.5%), IN (3.8%), and AL (4.0%) having a tighter band.
Harris is down in this poll 59-38, yea i get she's down big but hopefully high teens and not low 20's so to give Tester a fighting chance.
It would suck but wouldn't shock me too much if she lost MT by around 20.
I don't know why she'd do worse than Biden here, who lost by 16.
Looking at past returns in Montana, I was struck by how consistent Dem presidential performances returns have been there. In 6 of the last 10 elections, our candidate has fallen in the 4.1% band from 37.6% to 41.7% (underperformances from Gore and Hillary, overperformances from Obama '08 and Dukakis). By that measure, it makes it the fifth-most consistent state, with only MS (3.2%), PA (3.5%), IN (3.8%), and AL (4.0%) having a tighter band.