Does anyone know if any NC statewide Democrat other than Josh Stein won any of the Republican congressional districts?
I was wondering because Dems made important gains in the western part of the state, and they should definitely contest NC-11 heavily. And it occurred to me that maybe there was a slight chance that one of the other victorious statewide Dems had won it.
Does anyone know if any NC statewide Democrat other than Josh Stein won any of the Republican congressional districts?
I was wondering because Dems made important gains in the western part of the state, and they should definitely contest NC-11 heavily. And it occurred to me that maybe there was a slight chance that one of the other victorious statewide Dems had won it.
Unfortunately this is not easy to get. The state Board of Elections site gives results by county but not by congressional district. This isn't enough information since, for example, solidly Democratic Guilford County, where I live, is split between three overwhelmingly Republican districts.
However, given that the other Democratic winners generally won by solid for NC (2-3%) margins, but not by the 15% landslide that Stein got, and given how gerrymandered our congressional districts are, I would bet that none of the other Democrats won any of those Republican-held districts.
Does anyone know if any NC statewide Democrat other than Josh Stein won any of the Republican congressional districts?
I was wondering because Dems made important gains in the western part of the state, and they should definitely contest NC-11 heavily. And it occurred to me that maybe there was a slight chance that one of the other victorious statewide Dems had won it.
Unfortunately this is not easy to get. The state Board of Elections site gives results by county but not by congressional district. This isn't enough information since, for example, solidly Democratic Guilford County, where I live, is split between three overwhelmingly Republican districts.
However, given that the other Democratic winners generally won by solid for NC (2-3%) margins, but not by the 15% landslide that Stein got, and given how gerrymandered our congressional districts are, I would bet that none of the other Democrats won any of those Republican-held districts.
I agree, but we'll know for sure when DRA is updated to include this year's election results.
NC-11 is not too hard to estimate, since only one county (Polk) is split:
Start with the 2nd best Dem, Jeff Jackson (AG)
Won Buncombe by 46K
Lost the other counties (i.e. not including Polk) by at least 53K
Other Dems likely did worse