2022 was a really bad year for New York Democrats. But she’s now been in office longer and has collected more barnacles. Lawler is arguably a more appealing candidate than Zeldin. Yet if 2026 is as favorable for Democrats in New York as 2022 was unfavorable, she’ll likely win.
Now that the legislature is firmly in Democratic hands, New York has become more like a New England state where a vote for governor is essentially a referendum on giving Democrats complete control.
Hochul doesn't inspire the base and her crossover appeal is meh too. It's not an exact comparison, but I get vibes of Shannon O'Brien losing to Romney in 2002.
2022 was a really bad year for New York Democrats. But she’s now been in office longer and has collected more barnacles. Lawler is arguably a more appealing candidate than Zeldin. Yet if 2026 is as favorable for Democrats in New York as 2022 was unfavorable, she’ll likely win.
Now that the legislature is firmly in Democratic hands, New York has become more like a New England state where a vote for governor is essentially a referendum on giving Democrats complete control.
Hochul doesn't inspire the base and her crossover appeal is meh too. It's not an exact comparison, but I get vibes of Shannon O'Brien losing to Romney in 2002.