I know federal and state races don't always correlate, but hard to see a state that went for Trump by 13% electing a D statewide absent a major scandal-plagued candidate.
Um, when he's not on the ballot (like in 2018) or termed out, Republicans don't turn out as often as angry Dems and independents do. The MAGA witch in the governor's mansion almost lost her seat in 2018.
Agreed. ItтАЩs why I still question the trend towards the GOP for Hispanic voters. They went for Hillary big in 2016 and only started тАЬtrendingтАЭ after the rural-suburb realignment was already solidly happening. Hillary built a reputation with black and Hispanic voters and got us to peak Hispanic Dem. Trump epitomes the American Dream, even though itтАЩs false. I feel like these voters are still very elastic and are very much candidate specific and not party specific.
You mean the fake Trump of The Apprentice in particular epitomizes the American dream, or is there another element of his propaganda that does so? Because as you said, it's fake. He instead inherited a huge amount of money and assets and squandered it.
Iowa is likely to be affected heavily, and in multiple ways, by the tariffs and decimation of the federal government. We've seen certain state legislature and House races becoming competitive again. Likely nominee Rob Sand has won statewide twice, although by small margins. I think it starts as Leans Republican, but I suspect it will move to Toss-Up status by the time the race settles later this year.
In MN, we have Farmfest and itтАЩs a required campaign stop for Gov or Senate candidates with there being a debate/forum for them against their GOP opponent. The Star Tribune has their usual article about how it goes and the common theme is farmers are the toughest constituents bc you damn well better know the price of sugar beets and corn as of yesterday. You need to show up memorized on a whole lot of recent numbers and fit them into your answers at the candidate forum.
This is what legendarily took down our 2006 gubernatorial candidate. Political analysis says itтАЩs untrue and itтАЩs because the gov candidate called some media person a Republican whore a week before Election Day. But, that meltdown probably happened bc the Lt Gov candidate said she didnтАЩt know what E85 is the week before that. E85 was тАЬthe new revolutionaryтАЭ thing where we could substitute gasoline to fill our cars with mostly corn. I heard way more about that blunder of epic proportions vs the Gov candidate being mad about it. How did she not know about corn substituting gasoline?
All of this resulted in the GOP winning their only MN statewide office in 2006, which they havenтАЩt done again since. They sneaked on by in a big Dem wave bc we imploded over corn and we still had a bullshit Independence Party that mostly stole votes from us.
I know federal and state races don't always correlate, but hard to see a state that went for Trump by 13% electing a D statewide absent a major scandal-plagued candidate.
Kelly won in Kansas in 2018 after the state went Republican by 20. So it can happen.
Um, when he's not on the ballot (like in 2018) or termed out, Republicans don't turn out as often as angry Dems and independents do. The MAGA witch in the governor's mansion almost lost her seat in 2018.
Agreed. ItтАЩs why I still question the trend towards the GOP for Hispanic voters. They went for Hillary big in 2016 and only started тАЬtrendingтАЭ after the rural-suburb realignment was already solidly happening. Hillary built a reputation with black and Hispanic voters and got us to peak Hispanic Dem. Trump epitomes the American Dream, even though itтАЩs false. I feel like these voters are still very elastic and are very much candidate specific and not party specific.
You mean the fake Trump of The Apprentice in particular epitomizes the American dream, or is there another element of his propaganda that does so? Because as you said, it's fake. He instead inherited a huge amount of money and assets and squandered it.
Iowa is likely to be affected heavily, and in multiple ways, by the tariffs and decimation of the federal government. We've seen certain state legislature and House races becoming competitive again. Likely nominee Rob Sand has won statewide twice, although by small margins. I think it starts as Leans Republican, but I suspect it will move to Toss-Up status by the time the race settles later this year.
In MN, we have Farmfest and itтАЩs a required campaign stop for Gov or Senate candidates with there being a debate/forum for them against their GOP opponent. The Star Tribune has their usual article about how it goes and the common theme is farmers are the toughest constituents bc you damn well better know the price of sugar beets and corn as of yesterday. You need to show up memorized on a whole lot of recent numbers and fit them into your answers at the candidate forum.
This is what legendarily took down our 2006 gubernatorial candidate. Political analysis says itтАЩs untrue and itтАЩs because the gov candidate called some media person a Republican whore a week before Election Day. But, that meltdown probably happened bc the Lt Gov candidate said she didnтАЩt know what E85 is the week before that. E85 was тАЬthe new revolutionaryтАЭ thing where we could substitute gasoline to fill our cars with mostly corn. I heard way more about that blunder of epic proportions vs the Gov candidate being mad about it. How did she not know about corn substituting gasoline?
All of this resulted in the GOP winning their only MN statewide office in 2006, which they havenтАЩt done again since. They sneaked on by in a big Dem wave bc we imploded over corn and we still had a bullshit Independence Party that mostly stole votes from us.