Too bad many pundits and so called experts like Nate Silver and RCP fall for these "data points" and use them to promote their sophistry. Not sure what can be done to counter this gaslighting.
Not too much, I think, other than proving them wrong. 2022 helped - the right-wing poll brigade failed miserably in so many races - and we'd better make 2024 the same story.
As for Nate Silver, he isnтАЩt "falling" for these extreme-R-leaning polls; he is making a conscious choice to include them as the results fit his increasingly Republican-tinged narrative. But then again, Nate is now in business with Peter Thiel.
This is common place now; I would ignore as much as you can
I omit GOP troll polls from the crude averages I post in these threads from time to time.
Too bad many pundits and so called experts like Nate Silver and RCP fall for these "data points" and use them to promote their sophistry. Not sure what can be done to counter this gaslighting.
Not too much, I think, other than proving them wrong. 2022 helped - the right-wing poll brigade failed miserably in so many races - and we'd better make 2024 the same story.
I don't think anything has to be done. If anything, having poll averages underestimate them may be pushing Dems to work harder.
We should recall that RCPтАЩs Senate projection for the 2022 Midterm Elections was 53тАУ54 Republican seats.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/senate/elections-map-rcp-projection.html
As for Nate Silver, he isnтАЩt "falling" for these extreme-R-leaning polls; he is making a conscious choice to include them as the results fit his increasingly Republican-tinged narrative. But then again, Nate is now in business with Peter Thiel.
If you just relied on Trafalgar, Walker, Oz, Masters and Laxalt would be in the senate today.
Also Lake and even Dixon may be governors. God that would be nightmarish.
I enjoy your averaging the data and your omissions as well; thank you