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Stephen A Mikalik's avatar

Thursday's PA Mail-In Ballot Update is in.

5,991 new requests, D+329. Final request advantage now down to D+486,239

75,578 ballot returns, D+7,767. Overall ballot advantage now D+387,810. 2.2k short of the (once) popular firewall, 62.2k below my firewall

Total Requests (FINAL?):

D - 1,198,727 (54.68%)

R - 712,488 (32.50%)

O - 281,226 (12.81%)

Total - 2,192,441

Total Returns:

D - 917,896 (76.57% return rate)

R - 530,086 (74.40%)

O - 177,724 (63.20%)

Total - 1,625,706

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Stephen A Mikalik's avatar

Best day for Dems in a while. 74.15% of ballots have been received. Allegheny hit 75% returned. No counties are at 90% but Forest is at 89%. Luzerne is the last county to hit 50%. We all know about the lawsuit in Erie (16,350 ballots outstanding/missing, D+2,724).

LOB:

D - 176,956 (63.01%)

R - 50,493 (27.68%)

O - 57,581 (55.63%)

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ArcticStones's avatar

Could you say more about Erie County? Is this cock-up or sabotage? What remedy is being implemented or considered? Or is it just a shoulder-shrug and "Well, without a mail ballot, I guess y’all will just have to vote on Election Day."

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Stephen A Mikalik's avatar

This was an issue I had wondered about three weeks ago. According to the figures out of Erie, 16,350 ballots are still outstanding, about 39% of all requests & are closer to an equal distribution among the parties but half are still for Dems. The problem is that this system wasn't meant to handle 162k mail ballots let alone 1.625 million ballots. The GOP doesn't want to fix it. This lawsuit should have been filed last week.

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culturejammer's avatar

both parties have filed suits, and apparently the issues is with a vendor working for hte USPS, from what I've read

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ArcticStones's avatar

Part of the Democratic groundgame, in Pennsylvania and elsewhere, is focused on helping voters "cure" their faulty ballots. For instance this rather-impressive rate of curing in Allegheny:

"Allegheny County ballot curing: County officials told us today they've sent 1,190 ballots back to voters for defects, and 738 (62%) have been fixed and returned so far."

– Charlie Wolfson

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

Yeah If I can encourage one thing people can do from any non swing state is a phonebanking shift on curing ballots, it's calls to solid Harris voters and makes a huge difference.

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Zero Cool's avatar

God damn! The Harris Camp is certainly got a badass ground game in PA.

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Jonathan's avatar

Actually in all 7 Battleground states(our GOTV in Florida,not a battleground, without national campaign money is actually not bad for a state that is trending in the opposite direction)we have a badass ground game

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Zero Cool's avatar

I am still being cautious about FL knowing what happened in the 2022 midterms as far as Democratic Party turnout. However, I have faith the GOTV game will increase the margins for Harris in the state even if she loses.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Though technically, if she loses, we hope she decreases the margins. :-)

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