Thanks for the note about the House. I have had Obamacare much on my mind. There is one 2017 medical paper that estimated repeal would mean additional deaths of 35,000 per year. (IIRC Dr. Woolhandler, also a single payer advocate, was lead author.)
At that time a number of Repub US House representatives were in districts that Biden won, a…
Thanks for the note about the House. I have had Obamacare much on my mind. There is one 2017 medical paper that estimated repeal would mean additional deaths of 35,000 per year. (IIRC Dr. Woolhandler, also a single payer advocate, was lead author.)
At that time a number of Repub US House representatives were in districts that Biden won, and some of those voted against repeal. So how many of the current Repub held House seats are in Harris districts?
I think another Obamacare repeal attempt may be an important example for showing more precisely how much power House Repubs actually have. The vote was quite close in 2017 with a 241R-194D House. Repubs passed the repeal of Obamacare only by 217-213 because 20 Rs defected to join all Ds.
There’s plenty of things they can do administratively (primarily through state waivers) to wound it. Thankfully we have more governorships than in 2017 which will help a bit
It's also easier to get their party on board for smaller ways of chipping away at it. And democrats will be less resolute in fighting those things. The public typically ignores the "thousand cuts" approach to making existing programs worse, so electorally it's safer for them, too.
The Affordable Care Act repeal attempt by the House GOP was a major fail even while the party's majority was by 47 seats.
It's going to be much harder for the House GOP to pull off a repeal this time around even if it tries even attempting at chipping away. The tiny margin of seats the House GOP has over House Democrats gives me serious doubt they're going to even get anything done with this.
Take for instance Rep. David Valadao. He survived re-election a few weeks ago but voted for repealing the ACA back in 2017. He had handfuls of constituents reaching out with questions about his vote and if their healthcare was going to be taken away. He ended up losing re-election in the 2018 midterms.
Mike Lawler is another moderate House Republican like Valadao who is likely going to face serious pressure like Valadao did if he's going to consider voting yes on another ACA repeal. If he votes YES, he doesn't have a chance at winning re-election in 2026.
Thanks for the note about the House. I have had Obamacare much on my mind. There is one 2017 medical paper that estimated repeal would mean additional deaths of 35,000 per year. (IIRC Dr. Woolhandler, also a single payer advocate, was lead author.)
At that time a number of Repub US House representatives were in districts that Biden won, and some of those voted against repeal. So how many of the current Repub held House seats are in Harris districts?
I think another Obamacare repeal attempt may be an important example for showing more precisely how much power House Repubs actually have. The vote was quite close in 2017 with a 241R-194D House. Repubs passed the repeal of Obamacare only by 217-213 because 20 Rs defected to join all Ds.
They only have limited bites of the Reconciliation apple they aren't going to repeal the ACA.
Naw they'll just wound it more likely and make it not work well on purpose.
With at least 20 seats fewer than in 2017?
There’s plenty of things they can do administratively (primarily through state waivers) to wound it. Thankfully we have more governorships than in 2017 which will help a bit
It's also easier to get their party on board for smaller ways of chipping away at it. And democrats will be less resolute in fighting those things. The public typically ignores the "thousand cuts" approach to making existing programs worse, so electorally it's safer for them, too.
The Affordable Care Act repeal attempt by the House GOP was a major fail even while the party's majority was by 47 seats.
It's going to be much harder for the House GOP to pull off a repeal this time around even if it tries even attempting at chipping away. The tiny margin of seats the House GOP has over House Democrats gives me serious doubt they're going to even get anything done with this.
Take for instance Rep. David Valadao. He survived re-election a few weeks ago but voted for repealing the ACA back in 2017. He had handfuls of constituents reaching out with questions about his vote and if their healthcare was going to be taken away. He ended up losing re-election in the 2018 midterms.
https://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/05/obamacare-repeal-valadao-california-republicans-239149
Mike Lawler is another moderate House Republican like Valadao who is likely going to face serious pressure like Valadao did if he's going to consider voting yes on another ACA repeal. If he votes YES, he doesn't have a chance at winning re-election in 2026.