Someone mentioned yesterday (or in the open thread) that Keisha Lance Bottoms would likely benefit from Sen Ossoff's coattails. And we've seen in these special elections last year and this year that well-funded incumbents don't always win re-election.
I would 100% support a constitutional amendment to give us a defined campaign season and limits on total spending within that season, like they have in Canada. Spending astronomical sums has a diminishing margin of return anyway.
That will take a while, if ever, though I am with you.
I think it is a political winner and we should start the process. It would put the GOP in an awkward position of having to oppose it. Ditto corporate Dems, which is why it will never happen.
In the meantime, when we get control, kill the fill, expand SCROTUS, pass a law doing the same thing.
I agree it would be better if Talarico was at 48 or so, but if this ends up a wave election, the late deciding voters will probably break for us, so I'm less worried than I'd normally be. I'm also increasingly confidant that the "October surprise" will be a spike in oil prices or something equally bad with Republicans, since Trump is backing himself farther and farther into a corner with Iran. We shouldn't count on that, but it seems to be the direction in which we're heading.
Talarico leads 45%-40%. Poll is by Texas Public Opinion Research. (7/15-7/17 with m/e ±3.4%)
Talarico has the highest net favorability of anyone tested and (+12) and Paxton has the worst (-13).
Talarico trails among white voters 53%-33% but leads among 71%-8% and among Latinos 66%-20%.
“In the Governor’s race, Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa by 3 points (45% to 42%) with 10% still undecided. In the Attorney General’s race, Republican Mayes Middleton and Democrat Nathan Johnson are in a dead heat (39% to 38%) with 18% undecided."
Someone mentioned yesterday (or in the open thread) that Keisha Lance Bottoms would likely benefit from Sen Ossoff's coattails. And we've seen in these special elections last year and this year that well-funded incumbents don't always win re-election.
New IA-1 poll Bohannon up over Miller-Meeks https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/2082088228429897736?s=20
Be nice if 3 out the 4 IA Congressional seats flipped.
Incumbent at 35%? Yiiiikes.
I would 100% support a constitutional amendment to give us a defined campaign season and limits on total spending within that season, like they have in Canada. Spending astronomical sums has a diminishing margin of return anyway.
That will take a while, if ever, though I am with you.
I think it is a political winner and we should start the process. It would put the GOP in an awkward position of having to oppose it. Ditto corporate Dems, which is why it will never happen.
In the meantime, when we get control, kill the fill, expand SCROTUS, pass a law doing the same thing.
TX Sen poll. Talarico up and major positives +12 to Paxton -13. https://x.com/BryanRAnderson/status/2082091947359940642?s=20
https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/2082078028046217586?s=20 Better link:
TEXAS POLL - Senate
🟦 James Talarico: 45%
🟥 Ken Paxton: 40%
May Poll: Talarico +3
——
• Texas Public Opinion Research | LV
• Recalled: Trump 53-42 | 7/15-17
https://texastribune.org/2026/07/28/texas-senate-poll-james-talarico-ken-paxton-july-2026/
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I dislike that Talarico is only at 45
I agree it would be better if Talarico was at 48 or so, but if this ends up a wave election, the late deciding voters will probably break for us, so I'm less worried than I'd normally be. I'm also increasingly confidant that the "October surprise" will be a spike in oil prices or something equally bad with Republicans, since Trump is backing himself farther and farther into a corner with Iran. We shouldn't count on that, but it seems to be the direction in which we're heading.
Here is a link to the pollster’s substack with results from all three races and a discussion by the pollster:
https://texaspublicopinionresearch.substack.com/p/new-poll-james-talaricos-lead-over Of note:
Talarico leads 45%-40%. Poll is by Texas Public Opinion Research. (7/15-7/17 with m/e ±3.4%)
Talarico has the highest net favorability of anyone tested and (+12) and Paxton has the worst (-13).
Talarico trails among white voters 53%-33% but leads among 71%-8% and among Latinos 66%-20%.
“In the Governor’s race, Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa by 3 points (45% to 42%) with 10% still undecided. In the Attorney General’s race, Republican Mayes Middleton and Democrat Nathan Johnson are in a dead heat (39% to 38%) with 18% undecided."