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ArcticStones's avatar

What is the R-lean / Trump-lean of FL-01 and FL-06? The reward for a Democratic win in either is obviously huge – as are the odds against us. Any snowball’s chance in Pensacola that a good Blue candidate, duplicating Mike ZImmer’s 25-point Democratic swing in last night’s Iowa special election, could score an upset?

Edit: Looks like Gay Valimont lost by 32 percent against Matt Gaetz in November.

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Jonathan's avatar

I am in Volusia County (District 7; not 6); member of the county DEC and we are going to be very active for Josh Weil; very difficult district to actually win..cutting into the margins is important

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ArcticStones's avatar

So encouraging to see that the Florida Democratic Party finally has their sh*t together! If I understand correctly, this November Dems ran a candidate in every single Florida legislative race. That indicates good party leadership and is precisely as it should be!

The only surefire way to keep losing is to fail to run a candidate.

Nationally, Democrats failed to challenge a thousand state-level legislative seats in 2024. That’s inexcusable political malpractice – never mind that the GOP failed to challenge 1300 races.

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Jonathan's avatar

exactly; and the state Republicans are in civil war (however, I must say that the Ashley Moody selection was good politics)

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

Randy Fine seems to follow my father but he moved into a new house in the 6th from Brevard, will remind them to vote in the special.

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Jonathan's avatar

they won't be able to vote though.. Randy Fine lives 80 miles away from the district.. No part of the district includes Brevard.. I am Mills District 7; which actually contains portions of north Brevard but your parents might be in the district that the Republicans set up where they didn't have an election at all; only 1_ candidate filed for the open seat (not sure of the current district number but it used to be the old FL-15)

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Jonathan's avatar

the current district number is now FL-8 and it was given freely to Haridopolus without any opposition from Republicans or Democrats (Democrats are not competitive in the district)

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

Yeah my father moved from Brevard to Flagler a couple years ago.

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Jonathan's avatar

gotcha

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Jonathan's avatar

at least your father lives in the district now; Randy Fine is not allowed to actually vote for himself.. Lol

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ArcticStones's avatar

UPDATE: Clearly I have seriously underestimated the "snowball’s chance in Pensacola". I am told Pensacola and the Panhandle got nearly 10" of snow last week – and that there are plenty of snowballs even at the beach.

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Andrew's avatar

Might break a record high tomorrow in MN and get to 50 degrees. Insane for January. MN has been having a fantastically weird winter. Again.

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