What's up with these pretty weak numbers for Heinrich? It seems like he's been on the periphery of being competitive but I thought that Biden dropping out would have solidified him.
I think thereтАЩs also probably a stratum of soft Domenici support or uncertainty/indecision because she has a familiar name (added onto the ambient anti-incumbent atmosphere nationally and globally), with many of those people not actually wanting Republicans to control the Senate when it comes down to it. I agree with the other replier that the race will not ultimately end up being competitive (though as a Heinrich guy from way back, it still pains me to see!).
Yeah. Gotta think the Domenici name sets a high floor for her. Given that he was on of NM's senators for 36 years, it's very possible that his name still is familiar to more people than that of Heinrich, who's finishing up his second term.
I wouldn't sweat about the NM-SEN race. Per FiveThirtyEight, Senator Martin Heinrich has still been averaging quite a healthy lead in the polls over Republican Candidate Nella Domenici (an average of 5+% points ahead). The fact that the Domenici name isn't making this a close race is telling.
Heinrich btw won re-election in 2018 by nearly 24% points, in light of the fact that Libertarian Candidate Gary Johnson ran in the Senate race and got 15.38% of the votes. If Johnson didn't run in the race, Heinrich would have likely gotten around a 8% margin of victory. I expect he'll get around this margin of victory this time around as he's built incumbency status as a 2nd term Senator.
Also, on a side note, the late Pete Domenici was an old school Republican Senator who wouldn't fit in today's GOP. After he retired in 2008, Domenici had accepted Barack Obama as POTUS and was hopeful he was going to unite the country. It's possible the Domenici name wouldn't exactly be a selling point for the Trump-influenced Republican Party of today. Note Liz Cheney.
What's up with these pretty weak numbers for Heinrich? It seems like he's been on the periphery of being competitive but I thought that Biden dropping out would have solidified him.
Most likely little actual campaign as of yet..it's a non competitive race
Exactly. Polling shows it not to be a close race anyway.
I think thereтАЩs also probably a stratum of soft Domenici support or uncertainty/indecision because she has a familiar name (added onto the ambient anti-incumbent atmosphere nationally and globally), with many of those people not actually wanting Republicans to control the Senate when it comes down to it. I agree with the other replier that the race will not ultimately end up being competitive (though as a Heinrich guy from way back, it still pains me to see!).
Yeah. Gotta think the Domenici name sets a high floor for her. Given that he was on of NM's senators for 36 years, it's very possible that his name still is familiar to more people than that of Heinrich, who's finishing up his second term.
The Telegraph is another right-wing Brit paper. Like the Daily Mail. Redfield & Wilton are Brit pollsters who want to please their client.
I wouldn't sweat about the NM-SEN race. Per FiveThirtyEight, Senator Martin Heinrich has still been averaging quite a healthy lead in the polls over Republican Candidate Nella Domenici (an average of 5+% points ahead). The fact that the Domenici name isn't making this a close race is telling.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/2024/new-mexico/
Heinrich btw won re-election in 2018 by nearly 24% points, in light of the fact that Libertarian Candidate Gary Johnson ran in the Senate race and got 15.38% of the votes. If Johnson didn't run in the race, Heinrich would have likely gotten around a 8% margin of victory. I expect he'll get around this margin of victory this time around as he's built incumbency status as a 2nd term Senator.
Also, on a side note, the late Pete Domenici was an old school Republican Senator who wouldn't fit in today's GOP. After he retired in 2008, Domenici had accepted Barack Obama as POTUS and was hopeful he was going to unite the country. It's possible the Domenici name wouldn't exactly be a selling point for the Trump-influenced Republican Party of today. Note Liz Cheney.