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Voter1919's avatar

We must remember that Maine as a state is not a Blue juggernaut. The Maine House of Reps sits 76 D - 73 R. The Maine Senate is 20 D - 15 R. This is no Massachusetts.

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PollJunkie's avatar

+9D in 2020 sounds like a solid Blue state. State legislature elections don't have national dynamics and state RPs in New England are not MAGA.

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Voter1919's avatar

Not really. Take New Hampshire for example. NH votes Democrat solidly at the Presidential level and yet is dominated by the GOP at the state level. They essentially hold ALL levers of government and the Supreme Court at the state level. They are one federal race away from being a threat to Democrats -- Chris Sununu running for the Senate would've made that seat automatically a toss up, if not lean R. So no, a state voting Blue for President by a less than double digit margin doesn't guarantee that it's Senators are gonna be Democrats. Especially when it has no issues electing GOPers to important offices while also voting for said Democratic presidential nominee.

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PollJunkie's avatar

New Hampshire is unique and different than Maine, it's more rural and has a very libertarian and liberal-conservative culture.

Parsing the old, white, educated, libertarian, anti-tax, pro-choice politics of New Hampshire. https://archive.ph/NdYIt

"It is an older, mostly white state thatтАЩs very rural, but you have all these college-educated voters who are irreligious, and [these factors] are in conflict with themselves".

Maine in contrast has voted for Democrats since Bill Clinton at the federal level and has had a Democratic trifectas a lot of times.

Remember, if Gore won New Hampshire he wouldn't have needed Florida.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_Maine

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michaelflutist's avatar

I had thought Maine was more rural. Are you using Federal figures on percentage of rural vs. urban and suburban?

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