This is not a good analysis. Dems are higher propensity voters and are going to be fired up to vote next year no matter who the nominee is. Golden would have a great chance to beat Collins, but I doubt he'd run against her, so it's a moot point most likely.
This is not a good analysis. Dems are higher propensity voters and are going to be fired up to vote next year no matter who the nominee is. Golden would have a great chance to beat Collins, but I doubt he'd run against her, so it's a moot point most likely.
Even if he wins, we simply don't need a Manchinema 2.0 when you could run any other normal Democrat. Politicians like him make sense representing a R leaning district in the House but not even a swing state in the Senate. Republicans hate any guy to the left of Reagan, why do we need someone to the right of Sinema? We have had enough of such Liebermans and Manchins already.
Oh, I agree. I think we can beat her with a standard Dem if this year turns out the way we think it's going to. I was just pointing out that saying he's not a good statewide candidate is wrong.
I don't think so. Remember that Maine as a state is not a Blue juggernaut. The Maine House of Reps sits 76 D - 73 R. The Maine Senate is 20 D - 15 R. It had a Republican Governor for almost the entirety of Obama's Presidency. This is no Massachusetts.
+9D in 2020 is definitely a Blue state. By this train of thought, even Minnesota which has a deadlocked house is not a Blue state. State legislative elections have different dynamics to national ones.
This is not a good analysis. Dems are higher propensity voters and are going to be fired up to vote next year no matter who the nominee is. Golden would have a great chance to beat Collins, but I doubt he'd run against her, so it's a moot point most likely.
Even if he wins, we simply don't need a Manchinema 2.0 when you could run any other normal Democrat. Politicians like him make sense representing a R leaning district in the House but not even a swing state in the Senate. Republicans hate any guy to the left of Reagan, why do we need someone to the right of Sinema? We have had enough of such Liebermans and Manchins already.
Oh, I agree. I think we can beat her with a standard Dem if this year turns out the way we think it's going to. I was just pointing out that saying he's not a good statewide candidate is wrong.
Trouble is, any other Democrat isn't running (yet)
I don't think so. Remember that Maine as a state is not a Blue juggernaut. The Maine House of Reps sits 76 D - 73 R. The Maine Senate is 20 D - 15 R. It had a Republican Governor for almost the entirety of Obama's Presidency. This is no Massachusetts.
+9D in 2020 is definitely a Blue state. By this train of thought, even Minnesota which has a deadlocked house is not a Blue state. State legislative elections have different dynamics to national ones.
Presidential toplines are not the be all and end all. Especially outdated ones. It regressed to +7D last year.