7 Comments
User's avatar
тна Return to thread
stevk's avatar

This is not a good analysis. Dems are higher propensity voters and are going to be fired up to vote next year no matter who the nominee is. Golden would have a great chance to beat Collins, but I doubt he'd run against her, so it's a moot point most likely.

Expand full comment
PollJunkie's avatar

Even if he wins, we simply don't need a Manchinema 2.0 when you could run any other normal Democrat. Politicians like him make sense representing a R leaning district in the House but not even a swing state in the Senate. Republicans hate any guy to the left of Reagan, why do we need someone to the right of Sinema? We have had enough of such Liebermans and Manchins already.

Expand full comment
stevk's avatar

Oh, I agree. I think we can beat her with a standard Dem if this year turns out the way we think it's going to. I was just pointing out that saying he's not a good statewide candidate is wrong.

Expand full comment
AnthonySF's avatar

Trouble is, any other Democrat isn't running (yet)

Expand full comment
Voter1919's avatar

I don't think so. Remember that Maine as a state is not a Blue juggernaut. The Maine House of Reps sits 76 D - 73 R. The Maine Senate is 20 D - 15 R. It had a Republican Governor for almost the entirety of Obama's Presidency. This is no Massachusetts.

Expand full comment
PollJunkie's avatar

+9D in 2020 is definitely a Blue state. By this train of thought, even Minnesota which has a deadlocked house is not a Blue state. State legislative elections have different dynamics to national ones.

Expand full comment
slothlax's avatar

Presidential toplines are not the be all and end all. Especially outdated ones. It regressed to +7D last year.

Expand full comment