The optimistic case: Trump is underwater in Texas in a statewide poll and even in another. Nationally, he is polling horribly among Independents, Latinos and young voters incl Gen Z. Colin Allred is leading Paxton by more than 15 points in one recent poll by a Republican firm and a generic Democratic was even with him in an older one. Co…
The optimistic case: Trump is underwater in Texas in a statewide poll and even in another. Nationally, he is polling horribly among Independents, Latinos and young voters incl Gen Z. Colin Allred is leading Paxton by more than 15 points in one recent poll by a Republican firm and a generic Democratic was even with him in an older one. Cornyn is done and trailing bigly in the primary polls.
Colin Allred also has a positive statewide approval rating, performed 5 points better than Kamala and Texas' cities and minorities have only grown since 2018. There are a lot of other Dems currently looking to duke it out in the Senate primary, another good sign.
James Talarico, a progressive firebrand whose rhetoric reminds me of Beshear might run against Abbott for Governor. Abbott's aggressive school voucher program is totally underwater is polls and Talarico has been highlighting the out of state and in state evangelical Oligarchs funding him.
Texas has shifted left every election except 2024 which was arguably a gut punch for us but trends take atleast two elections to solidify. It was the second closest loss in 2020.
Texas becoming a swing state would change our politics for a generation, just say it: Republicans agree to abolish the electoral college; PR, DC get statehood and much more.
I don't think we can assume Democrats would pass our dream list the next time they have a trifecta. Look at what they didn't do the last couple of times. Good analysis of Texas, though.
The optimistic case: Trump is underwater in Texas in a statewide poll and even in another. Nationally, he is polling horribly among Independents, Latinos and young voters incl Gen Z. Colin Allred is leading Paxton by more than 15 points in one recent poll by a Republican firm and a generic Democratic was even with him in an older one. Cornyn is done and trailing bigly in the primary polls.
Colin Allred also has a positive statewide approval rating, performed 5 points better than Kamala and Texas' cities and minorities have only grown since 2018. There are a lot of other Dems currently looking to duke it out in the Senate primary, another good sign.
James Talarico, a progressive firebrand whose rhetoric reminds me of Beshear might run against Abbott for Governor. Abbott's aggressive school voucher program is totally underwater is polls and Talarico has been highlighting the out of state and in state evangelical Oligarchs funding him.
https://www.270towin.com/states/texas
Texas has shifted left every election except 2024 which was arguably a gut punch for us but trends take atleast two elections to solidify. It was the second closest loss in 2020.
Texas becoming a swing state would change our politics for a generation, just say it: Republicans agree to abolish the electoral college; PR, DC get statehood and much more.
Allred was a strong candidate. I definitely hope it's him again next year.
I don't think we can assume Democrats would pass our dream list the next time they have a trifecta. Look at what they didn't do the last couple of times. Good analysis of Texas, though.