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Avedee Eikew's avatar

I think an outsider could win but I hope those two decide quickly so said person can start putting together a campaign that is not frozen by them. Collins limped across the line in 20 with 51% of the vote she is not some unbeatable juggernaut.

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

"Frustration from both sides is clearly reflected in the poll results released Thursday.

Overall, 21% of Maine residents believe Collins deserves to be reelected, while 71% believe she does not, according to the survey.

Among Democrats, 84% believe she does not deserve another term, while 67% of independents and 57% of Republicans agree."

https://www.pressherald.com/2025/04/24/most-mainers-dont-think-susan-collins-deserves-another-term-survey-says/?uuid=ea30f625-7e77-4a7c-8b4c-b41e82f5ab80&lid=60747

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michaelflutist's avatar

I'm skeptical they're getting the polling right, though, after last time.

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

The polling at this point in the 20 cycle actually mostly had Collins ahead by a comfortable amount. I can see her winning again by bringing home enough Rs and keeping enough moderates to get another low fifties win but the commentary here makes it seem like 71% of voters right of the bat think she deserves to be reelected.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I'm not claiming that. I'm stating that we should never bet against her being reelected as long as she runs.

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Mark's avatar

Agreed. An outsider could win. Either the laws of political gravity catch up to Collins in a toxic electoral environment or else the electoral environment simply wasn't toxic enough.

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