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Nancy F Kaplan's avatar

Re the Arizona special election yesterday: Why aren't Democrats making more of a fuss over the long delays in filling vacant US House seats? There are currently three empty seats in safe blue districts, which in theory could have made a decisive difference in key votes recently. Has the Texas governor even scheduled a special election yet to fill the Houston-area seat that's been vacant since shortly after the inauguration? It's clear what he's up to: keeping the Democrats vote tally down in the House to enable Johnson to ram through more bad stuff. The Arizona and Virginia vacancies are also taking an inordinate amount of time to fill - state laws are involved, to be sure, but the issue is disenfranchisement and with such a slim GOP majority in the House every vote counts. Simply raising the issue and increasing public awareness of this problem might be helpful in energizing midterm voters. Also highlights the continuing problem of Democrats refusing to retire when age and/or health problems appear: insisting on "dying with one's boots on" is simply unethical and given the delays imposed by state law it leaves Democratic constituencies voiceless in the US House.

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

I think it's /mostly/ state laws at play. The problem is when the state gives the Governor a lot of leeway to schedule a special election, like the fuckery DeSantis did with Alcee Hastings' seat.

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Diogenes's avatar

And that Abbott is doing with Sylvester Turner's seat.

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

kind of, yeah, but there is a good government argument for consolidating elections instead of making the state spend more money on a brand new election. Honestly if it were up to me House vacancies would be filled via appointment.

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FeingoldFan's avatar

Why aren’t house vacancies filled by appointment anywhere?

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brendan fka HoosierD42's avatar

In the US? Because the Constitution requires special elections.

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UpstateNYer's avatar

Democrats play the same game. Hochul was going to drag out Stefanik's vacancy for as long as possible. It's just politics both sides play.

But to your point, yes it takes way too long and the voters are the ones that are disenfranchised. It's also absurd that there generally has to be a primary first then a couple months for the election, especially in deep blue or red seats when the primary is tantamount to election. Streamlining this process would be amazing but as it's state-by-state, probably never going to happen.

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Stargate77's avatar

Are Democrats just as guilty of this as Republicans are? My understanding is that Gov. Hochul was encouraged to drag out the vacancy for Stefanik's seat (if she went through with vacating it) as a way to retaliate against Republicans for having done the same thing on multiple occasions already.

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Ben Pedersen's avatar

FL-27: “Peguero was raised by a mother from Ecuador and a father from the Dominican Republic, and he has a background in law and politics. He spent time working for former Rep. Charles Rangel (D-N.Y.) and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and was also a former Miami-Dade County homicide prosecutor. “ From coverage by The Hill.

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Ben F.'s avatar

I didn't take yesterday's Downballot report as a call that an upset was inevitable. It was just a forecast of a possible upset, and a reasonable one at that. An upset was always in the realm of possibility but less likely than not. And as it turned out Adelita Grijalva won as expected.

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Andrew's avatar

I didn’t either. it was hinted at bc chatter is chatter and it’s reportable. And, so was that poll! The comment section from locals added some color and I had a good head going into it.

Whats funny is my work computer thinks I’m a Republican or something bc when I go to MSN.com, the site curates a bunch of news stories, including ads and bs, and I click through and find what I want. I get all sorts of Fox News articles and I eat them up. Today, I got an article about Dems unleashing a political movement with Mamdani and the party is changing. The article used AZ-7 as an example and it said Foxx won. I was like, oh crap I didn’t check the results from last night, what? Foxx didn’t even make it close, but here Fox News is saying she won in some dumb opinion article?

Very obvious that this person wrote the article the other day with some expectation Foxx would win bc she was viewed as surging and she very well could win. Fox News posted the article this morning and never edited that part out bc Foxx ended up losing big time.

I post this to illustrate how different our medias are. Reports of a possible upset are fine and facts backed them up. Fox News, though, has writers saying she already won to make a story.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I basically agree, but a lot of what backed up the reports wasn't a fact. An opinion poll is an attempt to get good data but not a fact in any other sense, for example.

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ArcticStones's avatar

In fairness, the Downballot’s pre-election analysis referred to the Foxx Campaign’s own polling and came with a lot of caveats. Like Ben, I certainly didn’t interpret DB’s analysis as indicating a likely upset – quite the contrary.

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Kevin H.'s avatar

Some bought into the Foxx hype, which is their right. We're not professionals here getting paid millions, we don't have to answer to anyone.

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Alex Hupp's avatar

L + ratio + you tried

(I know they won't see this, I'm just bored at work and wanna snark a bit)

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slothlax's avatar

Why is this comment hidden? All they did was question the Downballot. And credible responses were given that refuted the critique. Absolutely no need for censorship.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

The comment wasn’t just hidden, the user was also indefinitely suspended for the comment.

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ArcticStones's avatar

Imho, this is extremely concerning (gift link below):

DOJ Hits States With Broad Requests for Voter Rolls, Election Data

"The Trump administration and its allies have launched a multipronged effort to gather data on voters and inspect voting equipment, sparking concern among local and state election officials about federal interference ahead of the 2026 midterms.

"The most unusual activity is happening in Colorado — a state that then-candidate Donald Trump lost by 11 points — where a well-connected consultant who says he is working with the White House is asking county clerks whether they will allow the federal government or a third party to physically examine their election equipment. Federal agencies have long offered technical assistance and cybersecurity advice to election officials but have not examined their equipment because election laws tightly limit who has access.

"Separately, the Justice Department has taken the unusual step of asking at least nine states for copies of their voter rolls, and at least two have turned them over, according to state officials."

https://wapo.st/3IvgS0s

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Guy's avatar

Can’t states just refuse to comply?

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dragonfire5004's avatar

I’m assuming the 2 states who handed over the data are entirely controlled by Republicans. Probably Georgia and Texas if I were to guess. The conspiracist in me says this is the Trump DOJ’s workaround way of creating new congressional maps with new data by sharing with Texas lawmakers backdoor, which Republicans couldn’t have to draw new maps legally speaking.

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ArcticStones's avatar

Interesting hypothesis.

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Andrew's avatar

This sounds more election administration and voter rolls, not election results. Precinct data results used to redistricting are usually already publicly available. Anyone can make maps on Dave’s Redistricting App.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

Definitely possible too! I just don’t trust Trump or Republicans on anything, so that’s where my inner conspiracy theorist comes out. I really hope I’m wrong on that.

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Toiler On the Sea's avatar

An EO is not a law and states/counties have zero legal obligation to cooperate.

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Diogenes's avatar

Tom Begich's denunciation of Nick Begich is not quite as scathing as the attacks by the Kennedy family on RFK Jr. But the champion of familial invective has to be Mary Trump.

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Paleo's avatar

The Miller family is not exactly wild about Stephen.

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slothlax's avatar

The Gosar siblings come to mind here

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Andrew's avatar

Mary mothafucking Cheney!!! She must feel so vindicated.

For those who don’t remember the story, when her sister Liz Cheney first ran for office, Liz said she was against marriage equality. Mary being a lesbian and a member of the conservative Cheney family, was pissed. Their family is supportive and welcoming so to get thrown under the bus by your sister so she could win political office after her dad never did, ooof.

And, now look where Liz Cheney is. I hope her and Mary are as close as ever. And, I hope Mary says, “I told you so,” once a week.

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Zero Cool's avatar

It's not like Liz Cheney needed to diss her own sister in order to win the Senate election.

What would the odds have been that Democrats would have won the Senate seat in WY if Cheney avoided going after her sister? 2%.

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michaelflutist's avatar

House election.

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Zero Cool's avatar

I'm referring to the original 2014 Senate GOP Primary race where Liz Cheney was issuing a challenge to Senator Mike Enzi, one of the least likely GOP Senators who would have ever been primaried. Cheney ended her race in January 2014.

The rift between Cheney and her sister Mary Cheney started in this Senate primary race. Had Liz Cheney come out for gay marriage early on and didn't have the rift, assuming she did primary Senator Enzi out of office, the odds of her losing the election in 2014 would have been 2% considering WY is one of the darkest red states in the U.S.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2014/01/06/liz-cheney-to-end-wyoming-senate-bid-citing-family-health-issues/

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Liz Cheney, the daughter of former vice president Richard B. Cheney, announced Monday that she has decided to end her bid to become a U.S. senator from Wyoming, citing "serious health issues" in her family.

Cheney's decision brings an abrupt end to a high-profile campaign that shook the Wyoming political landscape and unfolded against the backdrop of a deeply personal and very public rift with her sister over the issue of gay marriage.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Thanks for the correction. I didn't remember that campaign. The thing is, had she come out for same-sex marriage, she would have had no shot in that primary.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Tom Begich denounced Nick Begich? Is there a link where I can see more? I didn't see any mention in today's digest but perhaps I didn't look carefully.

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Diogenes's avatar

From today's digest: "There's also talk that Peltola could instead run to reclaim her old job as Alaska's lone House member by seeking a rematch against Rep. Nick Begich―a Republican who happens to be Mark and Tom's nephew. (Tom Begich wrote an op-ed slamming his younger relative earlier this year.)"

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Zero Cool's avatar

I just searched via Google for the link.

Wow. Quite a damning statement.

https://www.adn.com/opinions/2025/05/23/opinion-a-troubling-vote-for-alaska-and-for-the-nation/

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PollJunkie's avatar

Dr. Jasmeet Bains, a pro-oil moderate Democrat is running for the seat held by Republican David Valadeo of California.

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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

She represents Salas' district.

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Guy's avatar

A strong candidate, but she has a formidable primary foe in Randy Villegas.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Pro-oil is a suicidal position for the human race. Is there a good reason a Democrat running for that seat has to favor a fuel source that's killing us?

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PollJunkie's avatar

Her county depends on the oil industry.

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michaelflutist's avatar

I didn't know that.

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Zack from the SFV's avatar

Kern County CA: You could call it the westernmost county of Oklahoma. It is where many of the Dust Bowl era Okies settled and their descendants still live. The economy is powered by agriculture and the oil industry, like OK or TX.

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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

Oh yes, Kern County has a lot of oil and also grows a lot of almonds and grapes. I visited Bakersfield last month and saw for myself. Both refining facilities and grasshopper oil pumps. My mother's mother's parents moved there from Idaho (which they moved to from Utah) because it provided the most stable employment...until my great-grandfather fell from a great height while welding an oil storage tank.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Wow, that's horrible!

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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

I visited his grave. The motto engraved on it is: "I Can. I Will."

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RL Miller's avatar

is there a reason based on the economics of the district: yes. Kern County is the largest oil producing county in California. "There Will Be Blood" was based on Kern County. It's Kevin McCarthy (remember him?) country.

Is there a reason based on an appeal to humanity: no.

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Wolfpack Dem's avatar

I've pretty much written off humanity at this point. We couldn't briefly rally together for a worldwide pandemic, no way will we make real sacrificies for the climate.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Multiple COP conferences for the last several years have produced landmark agreements worldwide that are designed to address a considerable portion of the climate change issues.

Progress isn’t going to happen overnight but keep in mind that towards the end of 2018 the Ozone Layer started healing. Decades after the original Montreal Protocol was agreed to back in 1987.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Not using freon did not disrupt society the way ending the internal combustion engine, oil and gas heat and gas cooking will.

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Zero Cool's avatar

That's true. And we also have to take into account the massive data center usage, which is something I'm sure the EU and UN are paying close attention to.

I can't say I am going to predict what is exactly going to happen in the coming years and decades as a result of the COP conference agreements. It is however going to matter how the U.S. and the rest of the world adapts.

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michaelflutist's avatar

Yep. We have to bet our lives on engineering.

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JanusIanitos's avatar

As an electrical engineer I will say this is not a great hope to rely on.

Not for the reasons many might assume. The work being done on green energy across the board are all amazing and great work. The problem is that science is only as able to save us as we are willing to empower it to do so.

The solutions already exist, scientifically. Engineers before me have done the greatest struggle of the work. Now we are making things more efficient and better, but the solutions already exist and have for years. I do not merely mean "exist" in the literal sense but also in the sense of being economically strong options. Coal and gas are expensive enough, and solar and wind cheap enough, that it's been economically advantageous to only build out green energy for years. I saw a study a year or two ago claiming that it was cheaper to pay the decommissioning prices ahead of schedule and then build out solar farms than it was to continue operating gas plants.

Similar truths exist in the non electrical engineering fields. Civil engineers and mechanical engineers have done great work on building efficiency and machinery. Chemical engineers have improved batteries. And others I'm not thinking of at the moment...

The work for engineering to save us has been done. The problem isn't one that currently needs to be solved scientifically. It's one that needs to be solved politically. Human society is fundamentally bad at dealing with problems that require sacrifice today to avoid pain many tomorrows later. Even if that pain is astronomically higher than the sacrifice. This could have had the resources dedicated to it 20, even 30, years ago and we'd be on a good path today.

Not impossibly we could be forced down the route of geoengineering in the future to reverse the impacts of climate change, but I would be very wary of relying on that path. Filling the atmosphere with temporary solar reflectors, and constantly launching more up to replace expired ones, could work on principle but could also have massive secondary impacts when performed on the scale necessary. Massive carbon capture facilities would cost a fortune on the scale needed and require equally massive levels of energy input. Plus, none of that will happen without the societal desire for it to happen.

Alternatively we could engineer our way to ameliorate the consequence of climate change. I do have confidence in that, but only because by then the choices will be one with a much closer payoff.

Engineering can give us options but it cannot force them to be adopted.

Engineering won't save us. We need to get our shit together as a people and institute solutions politically. Which is not an encouraging answer.

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michaelflutist's avatar

No, it sure isn't, but I appreciate it because we live in the real world.

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Martybooks's avatar

VA (all elections) poll. Rs are in big trouble. Spanberger by 12 and more. https://x.com/samshirazim/status/1945493219480920197

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Ethan (KingofSpades)'s avatar

They had a tight race with a McAuliffe edge of 3 in mid October 2021, but with lots of undecideds.

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James Trout's avatar

The Spanberger campaign is well ahead of where McAuliffe was at this time four years ago in terms of organization and strength. Also the fact that Youngkin has a sizable disapproval rate is not good news for Republicans here. With very few exceptions, people in Virginia tend to LOVE their Governors.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

Youngkin is approved by 10 in the poll? How does he have sizeable disapproval?

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PollJunkie's avatar

James Trout mentioned "sizable disapproval" not net disapproval.

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James Trout's avatar

His approval rating is 49 per cent. That's not good for a Virginia Governor.

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Stargate77's avatar

IIRC, Youngkin's approval rating has always been above 50% up until now. Even in the fall of 2023, when Democrats held the state Senate and retook the House of Delegates, his approval rating was above 50%. One possible explanation for his approval rating dropping below 50% is that his "soft approvers" have soured on Republicans in general due to what's been happening at the federal level.

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Zero Cool's avatar

It also doesn’t help Youngkin that he’s all in supporting Earle-Sears. He’s going to have a much hard time as a Senate candidate with this.

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UpstateNYer's avatar

Between Trump in the WH, the dissension in the VAGOP ranks and the fact that Sears is not Youngkin, I think Spanberger wins this fairly comfortably.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Yes. Spanberger can do potentially even better than Ralph Northam did back in 2017.

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slothlax's avatar

As far as I'm concerned, Governor Hochul all but endorsed Mamdani on Morning Joe today.

https://youtu.be/d9VI5rgeDnE?si=_eUZVO6BEjJGAiN2

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PollJunkie's avatar

New Virginia Poll from VCU Wilder

Governor

Spanberger (D) 49%

Earle-Sears (R) 37%

Lt. Gov

Hashmi (D) 45%

Reid (R) 36%

Attorney General

Jones (D) 46%

Miyares (R) 37%

Trump Approval

Approve 40%

Disapprove 55%

Youngkin Approval

49% Approve

39% Disapprove

https://x.com/samshirazim/status/1945493219480920197

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Mike in MD's avatar

Wider margins than one might think, but not terribly surprising given everything. Notably, Miyares' incumbency may not be helping him, but he doesn't seem to have made a particularly deep impression. At best he seems Generic R, which may not cut it in this environment. The Trump approval for is in line with or only slightly worse than nationally, so this can't be easily dismissed as a too-blue sample.

And the "Youngkin's second term" theme may not be a silver bullet for Earle-Sears, either, given his rather tepid approval.

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MPC's avatar

I think Miyares is history come November. He may have more money on hand than his Democratic opponent, but the headwinds are going against him.

If Kamala had won, it would be a different story.

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AWildLibAppeared's avatar

In the future, please link directly to the poll info, not Twitter. Twitter is not a credible source, as a lot of people make up stuff there.

https://wilder.vcu.edu/news-and-events/news-posts/commonwealth-poll-in-virginia-governors-race-democratic-candidate-spanberger-leads-gops-earle-sears-49-to-37.html

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ArcticStones's avatar

"TRUMP showed House Republicans a draft letter firing Powell Tuesday. House Republicans were at the White House to talk through problems with a trio of cryptocurrency bills that the chamber was planning to consider this week."

– Jake Sherman, Founder and Editor of Punchbowl

https://nitter.poast.org/JakeSherman/status/1945510501468741954#m

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Paleo's avatar

Somehow I think this is one injunction the Republican 6 would not stay. Assuming Powell challenges it.

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Henrik's avatar

They all but signaled it in as blunt of terms as they can earlier this spring

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Guy's avatar

This isn’t going to happen. Trump doesn’t have the authority to fire Powell and he’ll refuse to leave if Trump tries something.

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MPC's avatar

TACO backed down on his threat to fire Powell after meeting with GOP politicians today.

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Mark's avatar

Meh. The Supreme Court will find a way to uphold it if he does.

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Guy's avatar

No they won’t. They already made it clear he can’t fire Powell in May, and they wouldn’t have gone through all this trouble to make that carve-out otherwise.

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Andrew's avatar

Why can’t he? Whats the rules/law on that one? (I have no idea so genuinely asking.)

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Guy's avatar
Jul 17Edited

The president is not allowed to fire the Fed chair. It’s in the Federal Reserve Act and SCOTUS made it clear.

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Guy's avatar

Also, Trump already TACO’d on this.

https://x.com/DeItaone/status/1945513622719135870

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ArcticStones's avatar

Just wait for Donald to TACO his TACO.

Meanwhile, Trump and his disciples sure are doing their utmost to make Jerome Powell’s life a living hell.

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Henrik's avatar

Powell also does not personally unilaterally set rates, contrary to what Trump seems to believe

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slothlax's avatar

This is one of those things that I think Trump is fully aware of, unlike say Liberia being an English speaking country, but he knows the public doesn't have a clue what's going on so his public persona can put on an act. The Woodward covid tapes are my prime example, Trump very obviously knew what was going on in pretty fine detail in private, yet in public he was telling us to ingest bleach.

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Henrik's avatar

Maybe. Powell could be a useful punching bag for him then as tariffs start to really bite and people are still grumpy about 7% mortgages.

But, who knows. The man is impulsive

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Guy's avatar

Powell’s term ends in less than a year anyway. Best Trump keep him around as a punching bag.

How likely do you think it is he’ll last until then?

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Henrik's avatar

I think Powell would hang around just out of spite. I definitely could see other Fed Governors get increasingly open to small rate cuts, though, as the year progressed

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michaelflutist's avatar

Not out of spite but out of professionalism.

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Brad Warren's avatar

I think what pisses me off the most is that when an inflation report like yesterday's dropped under Biden, the administration was pounded mercilessly for DAYS. People like Larry "Starve the Poors" Summers would be on every news channel demanding rate *hikes.*

Under Trump? Crickets from this crowd.

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Henrik's avatar

Wall Street has never really shaken off a lot of its priors about who and what is “good for business” even if a good number of them are conservative Democrats by self-identification (Summers, Dimon, Blankfein)

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Zero Cool's avatar

Well, keep in mind that in the publicly-traded environment that Wall Street operates under, it’s always the short-term success that matters the most to shareholders.

That said, if Democrats win control of the White House in 2028, progressively eliminating the tariffs will certainly change the sentiment in Wall Street.

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Brad Warren's avatar

One thing that the Summers/Dimon/Blankfein crowd want (regardless of party affiliation) is a steady supply of dirt-cheap labor. BIden's economy never delivered on that front.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

Yes, because Trump has never lied about anything in order to confuse people and quell a backlash towards him. We can totally trust what he says to be true, yessirree.

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Guy's avatar

He’s very sensitive to market reaction on these things. Just like with the tariffs. Stocks dropped earlier today, and now they’re back up.

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Brad Warren's avatar

Trump is the ultimate "sToNkS" guy

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Zero Cool's avatar

I’m sure if Trump were a kid in today’s world he’d have an interactive stock market video game the moment it would be up for pre-order.

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Buckeye73's avatar

Undermining the independence of the Federal Reserve and promoting more crypto is a great way to crash the economy.

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ArcticStones's avatar

Uhm, so is everything that Trump has done and is doing ever since 20 January.

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Brad Warren's avatar

But so far, the expectation that he won't follow through on his most-insane pronouncements has been baked into the market.

That could change fast and HARD.

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Guy's avatar
Jul 16Edited

He doesn't follow through because of the market. That's entirely what TACO is about. We saw it with the Tariffs and we're seeing it with Powell.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

James Downs

@jamesd0wns

·

4h

#CO05: Army vet Jessica Killin (D) raises $750,000 in the first 24 hours of her challenge to Rep. Jeff Crank (R)

Wowza

https://x.com/jamesd0wns/status/1945454155557912758

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Henrik's avatar

Not bad at all considering the district

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michaelflutist's avatar

That's a huge amount to raise in 1 day in any district!

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Guy's avatar

The biggest problem is that there’s an independent spoiler preparing a run here too named Matt Cavanaugh.

He’d be way more useful running against Boebert, IMO.

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PollJunkie's avatar

Colorado Springs is a defense based city whose suburbs have been shifting blue. Her profile may be ideal for the district.

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

The Dem nominee in 24 raised almost nothing so this is great news we should be pushing for this seat after the 8th.

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Guy's avatar

CO-03 and CO-04 were closer than CO-05 on the congressional level, though.

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

I'm aware. I don't think that will be the case this time for numerous reasons we've discussed previously.

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Guy's avatar

I don’t remember such a discussion taking place. Can you link it back to me?

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

If i'm mistaken I apologize but i've had many discussions over this exact topic on this board earlier in the year. It sums up to I think there may be a case for keeping the 3rd in play as Hurd is a lightweight but the 4th is a stretch, we need to be winning Douglas county by a large margin to make up for the plains. The 5th is one of a few districts Harris did better then Biden in and we have a serious candidate running this time.

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Andrew's avatar

Ehhhh, Congressional results can be very dependent on candidate and campaign quality. Pres is a good baseline where it’s rare for there to be outliers when it comes to district results.

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UpstateNYer's avatar

Haven't seen this mentioned yet, but last night Trayon "Ward 8" White won the special election to replace himself after being expelled from the DC Council for accepting $156k in bribes. He won with under 30% of the vote so with 3 others getting 22-28%, so clearly somewhat fluky but still an embarrasment. I think this only accelerates Trump and the GOP's talk of a "DC Takeover", whateve that means.

He is anticpated to be expelled again shortly, which would setup yet another special, something the District certainly shouldn't have to be paying for. Bottom line, not good for DC at all.

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JanusIanitos's avatar

DC should implement a RCV system or something similar if they're going to have a re-do. Perfect excuse to get some good government election rules in place.

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UpstateNYer's avatar

Agreed. Especially in a city where the D primary is the only contest that matters

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FeingoldFan's avatar

RCV is being implemented, we had a referendum and approved it. It’s just not in place yet.

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slothlax's avatar

Would it be in place for this hypothetical second special election?

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

Has anyone calculated how Colorado Springs voted in the 2024 election? (citywide)

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Jay's avatar

In 2020 trump won 49.9-46.4. I haven't seen numbers for 2024 yet, but I would guess it was very similar, if not a little worse for trump.

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Avedee Eikew's avatar

Im digging around on free time but haven't found anything solid yet. I'm hopeful she may have closed the gap further or even squeezed out a narrow win. Regardless definitely should invest in the 5th and hopefully if the city turns we can get more of a bench out of there.

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dragonfire5004's avatar

Downballot VA money race:

Dems also overall doing well in targeted House of Delegates races

GOP seats where Dems have more COH

HD-22

HD-30

HD-41

HD-71

HD-82

HD-86

GOP seats where incumbent has more COH but Dems outraised

HD-57

HD-64

HD-73

GOP has advantage in both

HD-66

HD-69

HD-75

HD-89

https://x.com/samshirazim/status/1945452564033445960

Meanwhile GOP only really targeting 4 seats

GOP raised decent amount in 3, but Dems still ahead in terms of COH

HD-65

HD-84

HD-97

Big problem for GOP is HD-21

It was closest Dem held seat in 2023

GOP candidate raised $117 and just $248 COH

https://x.com/samshirazim/status/1945452605922017701

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