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PollJunkie's avatar

https://www.270towin.com/states/alabama

The problem with Alabama is that it's a deep red +30R state so even a midterm wouldn't help. Perhaps, a pro life, pro business populist conservative Democrat like John Bel Edwards could be competitive.

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ArcticStones's avatar

…or a candidate who can launch a successful GOTV operation and inspire 80 percent of Alabama Democrats to vote. Without pushing a similar share of Republican-leaning voters to do the same.

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PollJunkie's avatar

Those registered *Democrats* would be very different compared to your coastal or normal Democrat plus they are nominally Democrats usually because of the New Deal/Great Society tradition in those counties. Many of them are very conservative and have regularly voted for Republicans but don't care to change their registration. Voter registration is a really bad way to gauge support.

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ArcticStones's avatar

I’m well aware. I meant "80 percent of Alabamans who vote Democrat", regardless of registration. I should have been more clear.

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axlee's avatar

No party registration there, if I remember correctly. Just people vote in party primaries.

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Brad Warren's avatar

I'm hoping Brandon Presley can do that in Mississippi in 2027.

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Darren Monaghan's avatar

Really? Let's look at the gubernatorial results from 2010 to 2018:

*2010: Ron Sparks (D), Agriculture Commissioner & liberal alternative to Artur Davis in the Democratic primary. Result: lost 58% - 42% in the general.

*2014: Parker Griffith (D), former congressman and CONSERVATIVE who changed his party registration back and forth like underwear. Result: Defeated in a 64% - 36% landslide in the general.

*2018: Walt Maddox (D) mainstream liberal Democratic mayor of Tuscaloosa. Lost 59% - 40%. Cracking 40% in a state like Alabama is a BFD these days!! 💙🇺🇲

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