Not uncommon for January after the election. But DKE circa 2024 wasn't as populated as it was in 2012 either. Probably a matter of expanded online election analysis supply without the corresponding growth in demand to keep all of destinations sufficiently populated.
I get it. Elections were a lot more fun when all politics wasn't national…
Not uncommon for January after the election. But DKE circa 2024 wasn't as populated as it was in 2012 either. Probably a matter of expanded online election analysis supply without the corresponding growth in demand to keep all of destinations sufficiently populated.
I get it. Elections were a lot more fun when all politics wasn't national and 98% of outcomes weren't so preordained by tribalism. There's just a lot less to talk about in 2024 when Sherrod Brown and Jon Tester can't beat Bernie Moreno and Tim Sheehy compared to 2012 when, as one example, Heidi Heitkamp could outrun Obama by 20 points and win North Dakota.
That is true. I just thought the other day that maybe PVI actually could be relevant. I can’t remember why it deserved a change as I always found it so dumb. Things line up a lot more neatly now.
Oh! It’s because going back to a previous election cycle and averaging the two seemed weird with so much ticket splitting. It could actually be useful now in explaining trends.
This is a very good point. I've always enjoyed analyzing elections where Democrats or progressive ballot measures do unexpectedly well in red states - for example, the 2015 Louisiana gubernatorial election was fascinating. And analyzing the 2023 abortion referenda in Kansas and Ohio was also really fun. But is a bit deflating when stuff like that doesn't seem to have any impact on presidential elections.
On that note, how many state legislators, anywhere in the country, are left who represent districts that heavily favor the other party (by a 2-1 margin or greater)? The Democrats who first come to mind are Pennsylvania's Frank Burns and Kentucky's Ashley Laferty, while the first Republican I can think of is Vermont's Rich Westman representing heavily Democratic Lamoille County.
Not uncommon for January after the election. But DKE circa 2024 wasn't as populated as it was in 2012 either. Probably a matter of expanded online election analysis supply without the corresponding growth in demand to keep all of destinations sufficiently populated.
I get it. Elections were a lot more fun when all politics wasn't national and 98% of outcomes weren't so preordained by tribalism. There's just a lot less to talk about in 2024 when Sherrod Brown and Jon Tester can't beat Bernie Moreno and Tim Sheehy compared to 2012 when, as one example, Heidi Heitkamp could outrun Obama by 20 points and win North Dakota.
That is true. I just thought the other day that maybe PVI actually could be relevant. I can’t remember why it deserved a change as I always found it so dumb. Things line up a lot more neatly now.
Oh! It’s because going back to a previous election cycle and averaging the two seemed weird with so much ticket splitting. It could actually be useful now in explaining trends.
This is a very good point. I've always enjoyed analyzing elections where Democrats or progressive ballot measures do unexpectedly well in red states - for example, the 2015 Louisiana gubernatorial election was fascinating. And analyzing the 2023 abortion referenda in Kansas and Ohio was also really fun. But is a bit deflating when stuff like that doesn't seem to have any impact on presidential elections.
On that note, how many state legislators, anywhere in the country, are left who represent districts that heavily favor the other party (by a 2-1 margin or greater)? The Democrats who first come to mind are Pennsylvania's Frank Burns and Kentucky's Ashley Laferty, while the first Republican I can think of is Vermont's Rich Westman representing heavily Democratic Lamoille County.