Remember how I said Trump and Republicans will do everything in their power legal or not to make sure they hold power in 2026? This is only the beginning as Trump targets ActBlue:
Remember how I said Trump and Republicans will do everything in their power legal or not to make sure they hold power in 2026? This is only the beginning as Trump targets ActBlue:
Democrats plan $12m investment in rural organizing. The “largest long-term, volunteer-powered organizing initiative aligned with the Democratic Party.” The group is aiming to boost Democrats and recruit candidates for the 100,000 local elections across the country in 2025, while also building a foundation in rural areas that could boost turnout in the 2026 midterms and 2028 presidential election.
David Jolly the anti-Trump, former independent, former Republican congressman, registered as a Democrat and is making moves to run for Florida Governor
Jolly as our nominee in FL would basically be keeping to tradition at this point, considering how long we kept Crist around and how he was our candidate for governor twice. I had forgotten but it was also Crist who beat Jolly in 2016 for the house seat.
Sorry, I meant my comment as tongue in cheek. Pointing at the ridiculousness of the FL dem party being stuck with former republicans as a decent chunk of our high profile campaigns.
Realistically I don't have enough hope in Florida for it to matter, but I'd hate to see Jolly be our candidate for anything.
I can see Jolly performing much better than perennial Crist but I'd prefer an authentic Democrat over him. In a Trump midterm with the Desantii Hope Florida fraud, anything could happen, I can definitely see the race being within 5 points though I am sceptical of actually winning. Trump's current unpopularity among Latinos would need to translate to the ballot. Byron Donalds also seems to be very lame in speaking skills. For what it's worth, Jolly has hired Beshear's campaign head Eric Myers.
In light of the challenges Democrats have in FL, I have no problem with Jolly positioning himself as a common sense moderate. It provides a good alternative to batshit crazy nonsense since Ron DeSantis has been Governor.
Crist’s a good man who had an honorable and respectable time as Governor. However, since 2010 he couldn’t adapt well in the polarized environment. Being a House Democrat has been the only success he’s gotten but he used it more as a springboard to being Governor again than actually looking to bring him any stature in the House.
I don’t think it will happen again because of the factors you’ve mentioned, but I don’t think it should be entirely dismissed as nothing to worry about either. Especially since every single expert in the housing market knows Spring is when home sales increase and reaching the lowest level not seen in 15 years during what’s supposed to be a very busy time of year is absolutely a major red flag on the US Economy that deserves noting.
I’d bet a lot that the next economic reports will show how much damage Trump’s tariffs have done to the country (and likely won’t show the entire extent either).
Oh, on the contrary, I am not being dismissive. Your points are valid.
I think though a recession in the future is not out of the ordinary. Economist Mark Zandi had recently given a 40% chance that the U.S. economy could enter a recession but he’s also looking at other factors such as jobs added per month.
The severity of any recession or slowdown is however mitigated by more evidence of economic growth. The housing market may be going through problems but on the flipside the commercial real estate market is picking up (at least with cities like San Francisco).
A lot of news today:
Remember how I said Trump and Republicans will do everything in their power legal or not to make sure they hold power in 2026? This is only the beginning as Trump targets ActBlue:
https://archive.ph/3fQkv
The 2008 economic crash was precipitated by a massive drop in homes sales. We just hit that mark again.
https://archive.ph/X8eHP
Democrats plan $12m investment in rural organizing. The “largest long-term, volunteer-powered organizing initiative aligned with the Democratic Party.” The group is aiming to boost Democrats and recruit candidates for the 100,000 local elections across the country in 2025, while also building a foundation in rural areas that could boost turnout in the 2026 midterms and 2028 presidential election.
https://archive.ph/9xTFN
David Jolly the anti-Trump, former independent, former Republican congressman, registered as a Democrat and is making moves to run for Florida Governor
https://archive.ph/HUTcc
Jolly as our nominee in FL would basically be keeping to tradition at this point, considering how long we kept Crist around and how he was our candidate for governor twice. I had forgotten but it was also Crist who beat Jolly in 2016 for the house seat.
Problem is, David Jolly only served roughly three years in the House and hasn’t held elected office since 2017.
If Democrats want a real alternative to Charlie Crist as the gubernatorial nominee,
I don’t see Jolly being the solution.
Sorry, I meant my comment as tongue in cheek. Pointing at the ridiculousness of the FL dem party being stuck with former republicans as a decent chunk of our high profile campaigns.
Realistically I don't have enough hope in Florida for it to matter, but I'd hate to see Jolly be our candidate for anything.
I can see Jolly performing much better than perennial Crist but I'd prefer an authentic Democrat over him. In a Trump midterm with the Desantii Hope Florida fraud, anything could happen, I can definitely see the race being within 5 points though I am sceptical of actually winning. Trump's current unpopularity among Latinos would need to translate to the ballot. Byron Donalds also seems to be very lame in speaking skills. For what it's worth, Jolly has hired Beshear's campaign head Eric Myers.
What is Jolly’s appeal though statewide?
More like he is not as unpopular as Crist and fairly well known. Maybe he can position himself as a common sense moderate.
In light of the challenges Democrats have in FL, I have no problem with Jolly positioning himself as a common sense moderate. It provides a good alternative to batshit crazy nonsense since Ron DeSantis has been Governor.
Crist’s a good man who had an honorable and respectable time as Governor. However, since 2010 he couldn’t adapt well in the polarized environment. Being a House Democrat has been the only success he’s gotten but he used it more as a springboard to being Governor again than actually looking to bring him any stature in the House.
Ok. I was mainly throwing out the question on Jolly’s viability as a candidate who could fire up the base.
If Jolly has to run for something, I'd rather he run against Anna Paulina Luna.
Yeah he’d actually have a chance there. Statewide he likely doesn’t.
Even with the economic information you’re providing, we aren’t in another 2008 situation. Business activity still is more robust compared to 2008.
2008 had progressive contraction before the financial crisis. That’s not the situation we’re in today.
I don’t think it will happen again because of the factors you’ve mentioned, but I don’t think it should be entirely dismissed as nothing to worry about either. Especially since every single expert in the housing market knows Spring is when home sales increase and reaching the lowest level not seen in 15 years during what’s supposed to be a very busy time of year is absolutely a major red flag on the US Economy that deserves noting.
I’d bet a lot that the next economic reports will show how much damage Trump’s tariffs have done to the country (and likely won’t show the entire extent either).
Oh, on the contrary, I am not being dismissive. Your points are valid.
I think though a recession in the future is not out of the ordinary. Economist Mark Zandi had recently given a 40% chance that the U.S. economy could enter a recession but he’s also looking at other factors such as jobs added per month.
The severity of any recession or slowdown is however mitigated by more evidence of economic growth. The housing market may be going through problems but on the flipside the commercial real estate market is picking up (at least with cities like San Francisco).
I’m not sure what the executive order hopes to accomplish. It’s already illegal for foreigners to contribute to campaigns.