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Marcus Graly's avatar

Trivia question inspired by yesterday's data release:

What's the Trumpiest (2024 margin) district to have survived the 2010 wave?

What's the Trumpiest district to be held by the Dems for the whole 2010 decade?

Some districts changed substantially in redistricting, so I'm not considering any of the PA districts or IL-12.

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bpfish's avatar

Unless we have data to show us what previous elections would have looked like under the current boundaries, this is a pointless exercise. All House districts have been modified post-2020 redistricting, except the statewide seats, with different boundaries, numbering, and/or representatives. You are not comparing the same district if they have even slightly different boundaries.

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Marcus Graly's avatar

While that's technically true, the second place district in both cases is substantially less Trumpy.

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Spencer Jones's avatar

I believe question one would be OK-02 for Boren? Then flipped in 2012. Cartwright probably for the 2010s question, iirc his seat didnтАЩt change that much in PA redistricting. Excluding that itтАЩs probably CuellarтАЩs seat now?

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Marcus Graly's avatar

Correct for OK-02. There's a far redder seat for the second question.

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Spencer Jones's avatar

Oh I guess MN-07 didnтАЩt flip until 2020 which is not part of the 2010s I suppose

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Marcus Graly's avatar

Yep!

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Guy Cohen's avatar

#2 is an easy one: MN-07.

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