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ArcticStones's avatar

Depending on how you define Democratic "firewall", it’s worth considering that Independents account for a significant part of the Early Vote – and Independents are trending Blue. We may think of those extra votes as a "hidden firewall".

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Stephen A Mikalik's avatar

For the purposes of the "Pennsylvania Mail Firewall", only the Democratic Ballots vs Republican Ballots is being counted.

A non-insignificant # of R ballots will vote for a random D. The current theory is mail-in ballot Indys will split 70D-30R. Compute the "hidden firewall" at your own peril. I'm staying away from that.

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ArcticStones's avatar

Fair enough. Best to keep the terms pure and the calculus simple.

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