Depending on how you define Democratic "firewall", it’s worth considering that Independents account for a significant part of the Early Vote – and Independents are trending Blue. We may think of those extra votes as a "hidden firewall".
Depending on how you define Democratic "firewall", it’s worth considering that Independents account for a significant part of the Early Vote – and Independents are trending Blue. We may think of those extra votes as a "hidden firewall".
For the purposes of the "Pennsylvania Mail Firewall", only the Democratic Ballots vs Republican Ballots is being counted.
A non-insignificant # of R ballots will vote for a random D. The current theory is mail-in ballot Indys will split 70D-30R. Compute the "hidden firewall" at your own peril. I'm staying away from that.
Depending on how you define Democratic "firewall", it’s worth considering that Independents account for a significant part of the Early Vote – and Independents are trending Blue. We may think of those extra votes as a "hidden firewall".
For the purposes of the "Pennsylvania Mail Firewall", only the Democratic Ballots vs Republican Ballots is being counted.
A non-insignificant # of R ballots will vote for a random D. The current theory is mail-in ballot Indys will split 70D-30R. Compute the "hidden firewall" at your own peril. I'm staying away from that.
Fair enough. Best to keep the terms pure and the calculus simple.