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JanusIanitos's avatar

We could presumably get through those legislative issues with a modest but not particularly large majority in the house.

The real obstacle is the senate. As is it would be fortunate for us to have a senate majority at all come 2029. We're going to need some cushion to deal with spineless institutionalists that think it's more important to preserve the traditions of the senate than to preserve democracy.

I think we will need 52 seats to guarantee any accomplishment beyond whatever can get through reconciliation.

Getting to 52 seats by then isn't impossible but it is a very tall order. Requires us to win all the inherently competitive seats up in 2026 and 2028: WI, NC 2026, NC 2028, ME. Then on top of those four we would need to win something somewhere else. Maybe Alaska, Iowa, Texas, or Ohio are our best chances for a miracle on that front.

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