It’s not enough because the country is hyper polarized and live in media echo chambers of their own choice and making. To expect massive changes with an extremely well known politician and his party just isn’t acknowledging today’s America as it is (believe me, I wish it was possible to have a 66-33 Democratic landslide or even 57-42, bu…
It’s not enough because the country is hyper polarized and live in media echo chambers of their own choice and making. To expect massive changes with an extremely well known politician and his party just isn’t acknowledging today’s America as it is (believe me, I wish it was possible to have a 66-33 Democratic landslide or even 57-42, but it’s not). There just aren’t many movable voters left.
Now, this poll could be a high water mark due to more Democrats responding to surveys and less Republicans doing so. However, if it’s real actual movement, that’s 5% of the entire electorate moving from GOP to DEM. That is a massive swing and gain, especially since that would flip 16 GOP-held districts from 2024 results and by PVI also, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio + Texas Senate seats (and no I don’t think this will happen and no I don’t think it will be uniform, just speaking theoretically), which would hand them a majority in that chamber too. It doesn’t account for lower Trump voter turnout when he’s not on the ballot either.
5 points is on the cusp of a wave already. Nothing makes people want to vote for Democrats more than Republicans screwing up everything when in power, go figure they can’t figure that out until it’s too late. Anecdotally this makes sense, many GOP-held swing districts already have a large number of Democrats running with more joining primaries everyday. Politicians really like to run when they think they can win.
It’s not enough because the country is hyper polarized and live in media echo chambers of their own choice and making. To expect massive changes with an extremely well known politician and his party just isn’t acknowledging today’s America as it is (believe me, I wish it was possible to have a 66-33 Democratic landslide or even 57-42, but it’s not). There just aren’t many movable voters left.
Now, this poll could be a high water mark due to more Democrats responding to surveys and less Republicans doing so. However, if it’s real actual movement, that’s 5% of the entire electorate moving from GOP to DEM. That is a massive swing and gain, especially since that would flip 16 GOP-held districts from 2024 results and by PVI also, Florida, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio + Texas Senate seats (and no I don’t think this will happen and no I don’t think it will be uniform, just speaking theoretically), which would hand them a majority in that chamber too. It doesn’t account for lower Trump voter turnout when he’s not on the ballot either.
5 points is on the cusp of a wave already. Nothing makes people want to vote for Democrats more than Republicans screwing up everything when in power, go figure they can’t figure that out until it’s too late. Anecdotally this makes sense, many GOP-held swing districts already have a large number of Democrats running with more joining primaries everyday. Politicians really like to run when they think they can win.