EricAZ had an article too on DK that AZ 2, the massive district that covers almost half the state including the Navajo, Hopi and Apache nations is close enough to be in play. I wouldn't have thought of flipping a seat beyond 1 and 6 in AZ. This would be precious to flip as Nez, the D, is Navajo, and the district includes ultra red Yavapai County (Prescott).
EricAZ had an article too on DK that AZ 2, the massive district that covers almost half the state including the Navajo, Hopi and Apache nations is close enough to be in play. I wouldn't have thought of flipping a seat beyond 1 and 6 in AZ. This would be precious to flip as Nez, the D, is Navajo, and the district includes ultra red Yavapai County (Prescott).
Tom lost by almost 8, and he was probably a stronger candidate than the recent loser of the Navajo Presidency. Against that, 2024 is a presidential year, and low propensity turnout in the district favors us. Also, it’s 2 years later and AZ, including parts of the district, is trending left. Also, despite his not winning his most recent tribal race, our challenger IS Navajo and IF there is a perceived chance of him winning that ought to be an energizing factor in native turnout. Also, 2 years of Crane may have given some of his prior supporters and some previously disengaged voters a disgust of his antics, see Boebert in the catercorner district.
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/9/16/2270787/-Inside-Elections-Puts-Third-AZ-GOP-House-Seat-in-Play-Great-News-for-Harris-Gallego-and-Nez
EricAZ had an article too on DK that AZ 2, the massive district that covers almost half the state including the Navajo, Hopi and Apache nations is close enough to be in play. I wouldn't have thought of flipping a seat beyond 1 and 6 in AZ. This would be precious to flip as Nez, the D, is Navajo, and the district includes ultra red Yavapai County (Prescott).
One rater moved AZ-02 from Safe R to Likely R.
Is this O'Halleran's old territory?
Mostly, but the allegedly independent redistricting committee cut in Prescott (extremely red) and when O'Halleran ran in 2022, he lost to Crane.
How great would it be to beat Crane!
Tom lost by almost 8, and he was probably a stronger candidate than the recent loser of the Navajo Presidency. Against that, 2024 is a presidential year, and low propensity turnout in the district favors us. Also, it’s 2 years later and AZ, including parts of the district, is trending left. Also, despite his not winning his most recent tribal race, our challenger IS Navajo and IF there is a perceived chance of him winning that ought to be an energizing factor in native turnout. Also, 2 years of Crane may have given some of his prior supporters and some previously disengaged voters a disgust of his antics, see Boebert in the catercorner district.