I don't usually do a complete set of predictions or guesses. I think the Dems will do well in the CA House seats. I am not going to do percentages but think we will pick up CA-27, CA-22, and probably CA-13. Farther south I think Young Kim hangs on in CA-40, but I look forward to seeing Will Rollins retire Calvert in CA-41. Derek Tran wil…
I don't usually do a complete set of predictions or guesses. I think the Dems will do well in the CA House seats. I am not going to do percentages but think we will pick up CA-27, CA-22, and probably CA-13. Farther south I think Young Kim hangs on in CA-40, but I look forward to seeing Will Rollins retire Calvert in CA-41. Derek Tran will be the new congressman in CA-45. I hope Dave Min holds CA-47 for the CDP, but I am not especially confident of that.
The easiest prediction is that Nathan Hochmann defeats L.A. DA George Gascon, probably with more than 60%. My new councilmember will be Adrin Nazarian (CD-02) and I'll go out on a limb by predicting that KDL loses to Ysabel Jurado in CD-14 in a very close race.
Props Pass or Fail: 2 through 5 Pass, 6 Fail, 32 P, 33F, 34 F, 35 P, 36 P.
Looks good in CA-27. Haven't seen it elsewhere, but I expect they are working it hard.I really want George Whitesides to beat Mike Garcia. Remember, "Mike Garcia" is just the translation of "Mike Johnson" into Californian. Send him home to Palmdale!
If she holds on to her House seat, it may be because she's not that bad of a Republican. By contrast to Michelle Steele, Kim is more moderate and her campaign website reflects this agenda. In fact, I don't see anything about Kim's campaign site about "being conservative" or worshipping Trump.
Doesn't mean there won't be efforts by a GOP challenger to primary Kim. However, in California's top-two system, it's easier for her to remain in office vs. being in say Florida where she'd be gone in a primary challenge.
I don't usually do a complete set of predictions or guesses. I think the Dems will do well in the CA House seats. I am not going to do percentages but think we will pick up CA-27, CA-22, and probably CA-13. Farther south I think Young Kim hangs on in CA-40, but I look forward to seeing Will Rollins retire Calvert in CA-41. Derek Tran will be the new congressman in CA-45. I hope Dave Min holds CA-47 for the CDP, but I am not especially confident of that.
The easiest prediction is that Nathan Hochmann defeats L.A. DA George Gascon, probably with more than 60%. My new councilmember will be Adrin Nazarian (CD-02) and I'll go out on a limb by predicting that KDL loses to Ysabel Jurado in CD-14 in a very close race.
Props Pass or Fail: 2 through 5 Pass, 6 Fail, 32 P, 33F, 34 F, 35 P, 36 P.
That is enough for now...
Thanks👍
What's your take on the CDP ground game?
Looks good in CA-27. Haven't seen it elsewhere, but I expect they are working it hard.I really want George Whitesides to beat Mike Garcia. Remember, "Mike Garcia" is just the translation of "Mike Johnson" into Californian. Send him home to Palmdale!
Lmao😂 Good luck👍
Regarding Young Kim:
If she holds on to her House seat, it may be because she's not that bad of a Republican. By contrast to Michelle Steele, Kim is more moderate and her campaign website reflects this agenda. In fact, I don't see anything about Kim's campaign site about "being conservative" or worshipping Trump.
Doesn't mean there won't be efforts by a GOP challenger to primary Kim. However, in California's top-two system, it's easier for her to remain in office vs. being in say Florida where she'd be gone in a primary challenge.