I think in the end the Sunbelt could go either way but if I have to call it I think if Harris wins the rustbelt which I think means she will narrowly she is more likely to win all four than lose them.
Dems take the House (D + 12), Senate 51-49 R. (MT/WV flip R). I'm really unsure on Ohio though but for the sake of optimism will say Brown finds a way to eek it out on the strength of the three Cs and not getting blown out in northern Ohio. Texas I feel like the ceiling is still too low for Dems. NE I think Fischer wins by at least 5 but hope to be wrong on that.
Why not so I can be embarrassed later hah.
National: H+5
NE-02: H+9
MI: H+4
PA: H+3
WI: H + 2
GA: H + 2
NV: H + 1
NC: H<1
AZ: H<1
I think in the end the Sunbelt could go either way but if I have to call it I think if Harris wins the rustbelt which I think means she will narrowly she is more likely to win all four than lose them.
Dems take the House (D + 12), Senate 51-49 R. (MT/WV flip R). I'm really unsure on Ohio though but for the sake of optimism will say Brown finds a way to eek it out on the strength of the three Cs and not getting blown out in northern Ohio. Texas I feel like the ceiling is still too low for Dems. NE I think Fischer wins by at least 5 but hope to be wrong on that.