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Justin Gibson's avatar

My final 2024 Election Predictions are out: [reposted from the Saturday Night post]

Kamala Harris (D) highly favored to win the Presidential election, with a 319-219 forecast in the no tossups version and 247-219 in the tossups included version.

Democrats favored to flip the House, with them getting a 227-208 majority in the no tossups version.

Republicans favored to flip the Senate, with them getting a 51-49 majority in the no tossups version.

Democrats will flip NH-Gov in the no tossups model.

https://jgibsondem.substack.com/p/my-final-2024-election-projections

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michaelflutist's avatar

Why do you think Ayotte will lose in NH?

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