So you think Selzer ends up being almost 10 pts off from the actual margin for the first time ever?
Like I've said before, polls constitute only 30% of my predictions. And one individual poll is even less than that, even from someone like Selzer.
If not for her poll, I would've predicted T+8. A two-point shift in my predictions based on just one poll is quite a lot.
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So you think Selzer ends up being almost 10 pts off from the actual margin for the first time ever?
Like I've said before, polls constitute only 30% of my predictions. And one individual poll is even less than that, even from someone like Selzer.
If not for her poll, I would've predicted T+8. A two-point shift in my predictions based on just one poll is quite a lot.