I think having a vice chair at war with their own party is kind of dumb. He was an obviously stupid pick from the beginning and a pretty good indicator of how out of touch our party can be. That said, I also expect for his primaries to go more or less nowhere and to just be a waste of money. The only way these primaries work is for three…
I think having a vice chair at war with their own party is kind of dumb. He was an obviously stupid pick from the beginning and a pretty good indicator of how out of touch our party can be. That said, I also expect for his primaries to go more or less nowhere and to just be a waste of money. The only way these primaries work is for three factors to come together - 1) A weak incumbent who barely campaigns against a strong challenger. 2) A very blue district. 3) Low turnout. It's hard to get those three factors working in synch.
I'm unconvinced that's the only way to win a primary. We'll see. But it's definitely not likely for most primaries of incumbents to succeed. That's historically true.
I think having a vice chair at war with their own party is kind of dumb. He was an obviously stupid pick from the beginning and a pretty good indicator of how out of touch our party can be. That said, I also expect for his primaries to go more or less nowhere and to just be a waste of money. The only way these primaries work is for three factors to come together - 1) A weak incumbent who barely campaigns against a strong challenger. 2) A very blue district. 3) Low turnout. It's hard to get those three factors working in synch.
I'm unconvinced that's the only way to win a primary. We'll see. But it's definitely not likely for most primaries of incumbents to succeed. That's historically true.