I could see IA being one of the Senate seats that could be swingy if the hypothetical you are describing would happen.
MT on the other hand would be more challenging in today’s environment vs back in 2006. Senator Steve Daines is running for his third term, not his first or 2nd. If this were an open race and Daines wasn’t in the Senate, I’d say maybe.
However, in 2020 Steve Bullock didn’t cut down the margin enough in his Senate election to make me believe unseating an incumbent GOP Senator in MT would be promising.
Bullock running in a blue wave, open seat, non-presidential year could've been interesting.. more swing voters in MT than, say, TN. But tis not to be..
“Trump is magic”
Outside of the satire, it would be funny if Democrats end up unseating Republicans in the House and Senate and were quoted saying this. Hahaha
I do remember Dems winning back the Senate in 2006 when they were originally predicted not to flip it.
Would be nice if history repeats itself on November 3, 2026.
Polarization way deeper than in 2006. We'll need the equivalent of a triple double grand slam hat trick to win 4 Senate seats.
Yeah. Casey losing was the 2nd worst result in 2024 and made it so we would need that triple double grand slam hat trick.
I could see IA being one of the Senate seats that could be swingy if the hypothetical you are describing would happen.
MT on the other hand would be more challenging in today’s environment vs back in 2006. Senator Steve Daines is running for his third term, not his first or 2nd. If this were an open race and Daines wasn’t in the Senate, I’d say maybe.
However, in 2020 Steve Bullock didn’t cut down the margin enough in his Senate election to make me believe unseating an incumbent GOP Senator in MT would be promising.
Bullock running in a blue wave, open seat, non-presidential year could've been interesting.. more swing voters in MT than, say, TN. But tis not to be..
Last open seat race in MT was back in 2014 when Max Baucus left the Senate to serve as Ambassador to China.
Obama should have never nominated Baucus if it meant to save the Senate seat.