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Mike in MD's avatar

I'd be careful about predicting a "blue tsunami" for fear of disappointment relative to overstated expectations--remember how 2022 was supposed to be a "red tsunami?" I do agree with Lakshya Jain and others that 2026 does look likely to be bluer than any year since at least 2018, but we shouldn't get overconfident or ahead of ourselves.

Regarding Collins, the same was said by many about her likely losing in 2020, but she survived and it wasn't very close. Of course, that doesn't necessarily presage 2026, as her luck could run out especially if she thinks that "suck up to Trump while expressing concern at the right times" will prove a winning formula. And the Maine GOP's luck will almost certainly run out at least for Senate races if she steps aside.

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