Poll by Change Research shows Osborn trailing Ricketts in Nebraska by 1 point. It also mentions that Change Research has modelled a more Republican electorate this time around than the last year.
Nearly every respondent had heard of Ricketts, but only 38% viewed him favorably. Less than two-thirds of Republicans su…
Poll by Change Research shows Osborn trailing Ricketts in Nebraska by 1 point. It also mentions that Change Research has modelled a more Republican electorate this time around than the last year.
Nearly every respondent had heard of Ricketts, but only 38% viewed him favorably. Less than two-thirds of Republicans surveyed (62%) had a favorable opinion of Ricketts while 89% viewed Trump favorably, according to the poll.
Meanwhile, more than 95% of Democrats and 61% of independents surveyed by the polling firm Change Research indicated they would back Osborn over Ricketts, who won the support of 78% of Republicans surveyed
And unlike some polls that showed Osborn in a dead heat with Fischer in the waning days of last year's race, Thursday's poll does not appear to underrepresent Republicans and does not vastly underrepresent Trump voters.
Fifty-six percent of respondents identified themselves to pollsters as Republicans and 57% said they had voted in November for Trump, who won 59.6% of the vote in Nebraska. Nearly 50% of state voters are registered Republicans, while 26.4% are Democrats and 21.9% are registered nonpartisans.
Osborn came close to unseating Deb Fischer last year— perhaps DOGE and FDJT’s disastrous policies are pushing Rs away from voting for their party or not voting at all.
I looked it up and Dan Osborne outperformed all Democrat statewide candidates, save Ben Nelson since the 2000s and 1990s. Even in Ben Nelson's best performance, winning his gubernatorial reelection in 1994 with a margin of over 45 points and getting over 70% of the vote, his max vote share was over 423k voters. Osborn in 2024 topped even that with 436k despite losing. Even though Osborn doesn't benefit the local Nebraska Democratic party, he seems to better engage otherwise cynical and disaffected voters. Having a decent candidate to engage voters and build grassroots networking and infrastructure is one thing, but having a credible popular candidate do so is even better.
Nebraska Rs are just doubling down on the extremism in the state legislature this year, but the winner-take-all EV bill (championed by Gov Pillen) was soundly defeated.
https://journalstar.com/news/state-regional/government-politics/article_7be6b517-341e-42fd-80a9-56c0d0996353.html
Poll by Change Research shows Osborn trailing Ricketts in Nebraska by 1 point. It also mentions that Change Research has modelled a more Republican electorate this time around than the last year.
Nearly every respondent had heard of Ricketts, but only 38% viewed him favorably. Less than two-thirds of Republicans surveyed (62%) had a favorable opinion of Ricketts while 89% viewed Trump favorably, according to the poll.
Meanwhile, more than 95% of Democrats and 61% of independents surveyed by the polling firm Change Research indicated they would back Osborn over Ricketts, who won the support of 78% of Republicans surveyed
And unlike some polls that showed Osborn in a dead heat with Fischer in the waning days of last year's race, Thursday's poll does not appear to underrepresent Republicans and does not vastly underrepresent Trump voters.
Fifty-six percent of respondents identified themselves to pollsters as Republicans and 57% said they had voted in November for Trump, who won 59.6% of the vote in Nebraska. Nearly 50% of state voters are registered Republicans, while 26.4% are Democrats and 21.9% are registered nonpartisans.
Looking to be a race to lean into in a big way.
Osborn came close to unseating Deb Fischer last year— perhaps DOGE and FDJT’s disastrous policies are pushing Rs away from voting for their party or not voting at all.
I looked it up and Dan Osborne outperformed all Democrat statewide candidates, save Ben Nelson since the 2000s and 1990s. Even in Ben Nelson's best performance, winning his gubernatorial reelection in 1994 with a margin of over 45 points and getting over 70% of the vote, his max vote share was over 423k voters. Osborn in 2024 topped even that with 436k despite losing. Even though Osborn doesn't benefit the local Nebraska Democratic party, he seems to better engage otherwise cynical and disaffected voters. Having a decent candidate to engage voters and build grassroots networking and infrastructure is one thing, but having a credible popular candidate do so is even better.
Nebraska Rs are just doubling down on the extremism in the state legislature this year, but the winner-take-all EV bill (championed by Gov Pillen) was soundly defeated.