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Anonymous's avatar

Rep Murcasell ran more than 10 points behind Cava in Miami Dade. We need to try someone new after losing three straight races by mid double digits.

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Zero Cool's avatar

Actually, the issue is heavily based on turnout, not solely the Democratic candidates running.

I don't mind a new Gubernatorial or Senate candidate but whoever the nominee is, they aren't going to win if turnout is lackluster. Suffice to say, FL Democratic Party Chair Nikki Fried has her work cut out for her.

https://www.nbcmiami.com/decision-2022/turnout-was-a-big-problem-for-democrats-in-major-florida-counties/2906393/

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We’re continuing to learn more about just how badly Republicans beat Democrats in the state of Florida Tuesday night in the statewide elections.

There’s ongoing pressure for the chair of the Florida Democratic Party, Manny Diaz, to step down. So far, he's indicated he'll stay in his post.

Gov. Ron DeSantis defeated Congressman Charlie Crist by 19 points Tuesday night. It was the biggest win for a Republican governor since the end of Reconstruction. For the first time in recent history, there were more registered Republicans than Democrats across the state. The big difference, however, was only about half of the Democrats showed up Tuesday and around two-thirds of Republicans voted.

DeSantis flipped counties President Joe Biden won in 2022: Miami-Dade, Palm Beach, Hillsborough, Pinellas and Duval. One major problem for Democrats was a mismatch in turnout. Republican registered voters showed up, and Democrats did not, according to unofficial results posted online by Florida's supervisors of elections.

In Miami-Dade County, there are 135,229 more registered Democrats than Republicans, but more Republicans showed up: 61% of registered Republicans voted and only 46% of Democrat registered voters.

There are 106,299 more registered Democrats than Republicans in Palm Beach County. 55% of registered Democrats showed up and 66% of Republicans showed up.

The same thing happened in Central and North Florida in several major urban areas. There are 53,156 more registered Democrats than Republicans in Hillsborough County but only 39% of Democrats showed up and 44% of Republicans showed up to vote.

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Anonymous's avatar

they both ran in 2024

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Zero Cool's avatar

Yes but the issue I'm raising applies to both the 2022 midterms and 2024 presidential elections:

Democrats in high profile races in both 2022 and 2024 lost by double digits as follows:

2022

FL-GOV

Charlie Crist lost to Governor DeSantis by 19.4% points

https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/florida/statewide-offices/

FL-SEN

Val Demings lost to Marco Rubio by 16.4% points

https://www.politico.com/2022-election/results/florida/senate/

2024

Presidential Race

Kamala Harris lost to Donald Trump by 13.1% points

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/florida-president-results

Senate Race

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell lost to Rick Scott by 12.8% points

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-elections/florida-senate-results

It's true that 2024 was an improvement over 2022 but that's mainly because of it being a presidential election year. Mucarsel-Powell also did a tad better than Harris did in the presidential race although that's not much.

However, turnout in general was down 10% in 2024 vs. 2020. Miami-Dade's turnout also went down. Most of the FL turnout ended up being driven by the GOP.

https://www.axios.com/local/tampa-bay/2024/11/06/florida-democrats-2024-elections

https://mynews13.com/fl/orlando/politics/2024/11/06/florida-voter-turnout

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Jonathan's avatar

Pretty sure I said to nominate Jared Moskovitz and you are making the mistake of convolution; the races you are comparing are literally oranges to plums; totally not a comparison of real value

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Anonymous's avatar

You rank ordered candidates, you didn't say to nominate Moskowitz

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Jonathan's avatar

It was obvious

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