Continuing a trend of weak numbers for the Dem incumbent governor recently. Hochul, Healy, and Hobbs in mid to low 40's. But it's very early as well. Still not where I'd want to be as an incumbent in an ultra swing state.
Agree but it would be helpful if some Democratic incumbents were popular in their states to stand on their own. I think Healy will be fine and Hochul will still win even after a bloody primary but I am not pleased with GOP strength in the North East last year.
Is there anything in particular with Governor Katie Hobbs that would contribute to these polling numbers other than being a Governor in a state where Trump won again but Ruben Gallego also won election to the Senate?
She's another governor that has had the "weak" label on her ever since she eeked out a win in 2022 despite running a terrible campaign.
I'm not sure she's done anything specific but Democrats in particular love to cannibalize their own. She's been hounded by speculation she could be primaried by the Democratic SoS, and though he declined, it still helped fuel the belief that she is a weak incumbent.
My Governor Kathy Hochul of NY has had the same issue of being perceived as weak that she has been unable to shake, although she has done more to herself to deserve it than Hobbs seemingly has.
Nothing of what you have described suggests this is evidence that Hobbs should get a primary challenge. If anything, she should be commended for being the first Democrat being elected as Governor of Arizona since Janet Napolitano back in 2002 (who was re-elected in 2006).
I wouldn't lump all those numbers together. Healey was polling stuff like 40-12 vs various opponents. That's not comparable with someone else polling 40-36. I wouldn't call any of the numbers weak specifically, since we're nearly two years out from election day and people don't like to truly admit to themselves how (and/or if) they are voting until August of election year.
Hobbs will have a serious campaign on her hands. Healey will not. Hochul might or might not, depending on if New York's recent statewide performances are reflective of where the state is going.
Arizona Governor
Hobbs 43%
Taylor Robson: 35%
Hobbs: 40%
Kimberly Yee: 34%
Hobbs: 39%
Charlie Kirk: 36%
Hobbs 37%
McCain: 36%
Hobbs 40%
Andy Biggs: 38%
Hobbs 40%
Hoffman: 35%
@NoblePredictive | 1,000 RV | 2/11-13
Continuing a trend of weak numbers for the Dem incumbent governor recently. Hochul, Healy, and Hobbs in mid to low 40's. But it's very early as well. Still not where I'd want to be as an incumbent in an ultra swing state.
Trump will make them more popular; just give him time
Agree but it would be helpful if some Democratic incumbents were popular in their states to stand on their own. I think Healy will be fine and Hochul will still win even after a bloody primary but I am not pleased with GOP strength in the North East last year.
And Hobbs is very vulnerable
agreed
Is there anything in particular with Governor Katie Hobbs that would contribute to these polling numbers other than being a Governor in a state where Trump won again but Ruben Gallego also won election to the Senate?
She's another governor that has had the "weak" label on her ever since she eeked out a win in 2022 despite running a terrible campaign.
I'm not sure she's done anything specific but Democrats in particular love to cannibalize their own. She's been hounded by speculation she could be primaried by the Democratic SoS, and though he declined, it still helped fuel the belief that she is a weak incumbent.
My Governor Kathy Hochul of NY has had the same issue of being perceived as weak that she has been unable to shake, although she has done more to herself to deserve it than Hobbs seemingly has.
Nothing of what you have described suggests this is evidence that Hobbs should get a primary challenge. If anything, she should be commended for being the first Democrat being elected as Governor of Arizona since Janet Napolitano back in 2002 (who was re-elected in 2006).
I wouldn't lump all those numbers together. Healey was polling stuff like 40-12 vs various opponents. That's not comparable with someone else polling 40-36. I wouldn't call any of the numbers weak specifically, since we're nearly two years out from election day and people don't like to truly admit to themselves how (and/or if) they are voting until August of election year.
Hobbs will have a serious campaign on her hands. Healey will not. Hochul might or might not, depending on if New York's recent statewide performances are reflective of where the state is going.
My reaction was that it's good she is leading them all, including a McCain, even if just barely.