Does anyone know how accurate the Data For Progress poll is? I understand its pro Darializa but do they normally show over performances of 5-10% from actual results or is it more representative than that.
Ohio Rs stand to lose in the long term by getting this enshrined into the state constitution. Purposely leave out tribal IDs, college student IDs, concealed carry IDs... getting a passport and/or passport card ain't cheap.
It’s downright surreal jumping between here and left Bluesky regarding NY-13. Over here, everyone is praying for Espaillat, while on left Bluesky it’s Darializa they want.
I’ve decided, due to Darializa’s controversies (which I’m sure we all know about) and Espaillat’s hostility with the left (including backing a primary challenge to a prominent progressive State Senator in NY and supporting Julie Menin for City Council Speaker), I am not backing anyone in the primary. I do not like either candidate and, since I don’t live in the very blue NY-13, I’m not actually going to say I support anyone.
Given how good f a campaigner Espaillat has been in the past, I'm shocked this is even a race. That said, I think there's been some strategic missteps on his part that have led here. I also find the gentrifier vs "real NYer" debate to be really tiresome. If I'm Darializa, I'm arguing to the "real NYers" that Espaillat has been in office since the early 2000s and hasn't made it any easier to stay in NYC.
Wow, Weiser ahead in a CO-Gov poll. It's from the same group that had Hickenlooper doing worse in his primary than expected, so maybe they have too many progressive voters in their polls. But still, this is the first time I've seen Weiser ahead.
Does anyone know how accurate the Data For Progress poll is? I understand its pro Darializa but do they normally show over performances of 5-10% from actual results or is it more representative than that.
Or maybe the tide is turning away from Democrats?
No this has everything to do with the GOP having competitive statewide runoffs that week and the Dems not.
I’m glad Chevalier is only up 4 in her own internal, maybe Espalliat still has a shot
OH Democrats need to paint this photo ID amendment as the "Don't vote for Trump and Ohio Republicans' SAVE Act" which it clearly is.
If they have a solid GOTV campaign, they can defeat it.
Unfortunately, a lot of Democrats see no reason not to present an ID to vote.
Ohio Rs stand to lose in the long term by getting this enshrined into the state constitution. Purposely leave out tribal IDs, college student IDs, concealed carry IDs... getting a passport and/or passport card ain't cheap.
It’s downright surreal jumping between here and left Bluesky regarding NY-13. Over here, everyone is praying for Espaillat, while on left Bluesky it’s Darializa they want.
I’ve decided, due to Darializa’s controversies (which I’m sure we all know about) and Espaillat’s hostility with the left (including backing a primary challenge to a prominent progressive State Senator in NY and supporting Julie Menin for City Council Speaker), I am not backing anyone in the primary. I do not like either candidate and, since I don’t live in the very blue NY-13, I’m not actually going to say I support anyone.
Good idea. I also think she is by far the least likely to win out of Mamdani's endorsed candidates.
Who are his endorsed candidates again?
Her, Claire Valdez and Brad Lander
Given how good f a campaigner Espaillat has been in the past, I'm shocked this is even a race. That said, I think there's been some strategic missteps on his part that have led here. I also find the gentrifier vs "real NYer" debate to be really tiresome. If I'm Darializa, I'm arguing to the "real NYers" that Espaillat has been in office since the early 2000s and hasn't made it any easier to stay in NYC.
Not everyone
It's also a reminder that Georgia isn't exactly fleshed out (in terms of party building and downballot candidate depth). Still much work to be done.
Especially the nonpartisan state Supreme Court races. They NEED to flip 2-3 by 2028 to make a dent in that GOP-appointed majority.
Nice to get confirmation from Cook. Brown really is up in OH https://x.com/Taniel/status/2065424428436000792?s=20
It's unreal seeing this 53-45 poll from a Fox pollster.
Wow, Weiser ahead in a CO-Gov poll. It's from the same group that had Hickenlooper doing worse in his primary than expected, so maybe they have too many progressive voters in their polls. But still, this is the first time I've seen Weiser ahead.
I support Weiser just because he’s been a lot more aggressive in supporting a D gerrymander.
Same. 7D-1R is easy, and even 8-0 is possible if Colorado Dems want to get really aggressive.
What’s the tea leaves ultimately on the Georgia special election???