TX-15: I couldn't read the full article since NBC paywalls now, but Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido apparently made racist and homophobic tweets in 2015.
If you want to argue about vetting, here's another example that isn't a left-wing populist.
given the social conservatism rampant in south texas, this is one of those occasions where maybe it doesn't hurt us as much, but jeez people need to learn to get off twitter if they are drunk and bigoted
Not good but not campaign ending and should definitely apologize and move on. I would venture to guess most voters in this district don't care about decade-old social media posts though.
Here's a poll about who Democratic voters want as the nominee in Maine. I don't know how reliable it is nor how good this pollster is, but it could be an interesting look at what Mainers are looking for
Looking at crosstabs, seems like Jackson is the preferred candidate of progressives and Shah the preferred candidate of moderates.
Given that the nominee will be selected by a convention polling might not be too useful, but if multiple polls show Jackson in the lead (especially by such a margin) those who are voting at the convention might feel more inclined/pressured to vote for Jackson. Not that I think it'd be needed... I think Jackson has a pretty easy path to the nomination. Both of his major opponents have some pretty big flaws.
Bellows has already run against Collins and lost resoundingly, and whether or not you think that's a fair criticism (I don't really think it is), it is something that convention voters might consider, as well as the fact she finished behind Jackson in the governor's primary and just doesn't seem to be a very inspiring candidate.
Shah doesn't really fit neatly into a political ideology which is probably a detriment given how Maine voters voted in the senate primary, and he's an outsider - as in, an out of stater, which probably wouldn't *hurt* too much in the general but I could see it being a point against him in the nominating convention. Plus his tenure as a health director in Illinois was bad enough for senator Duckworth to come out and call for him to not be nominated, and after the Platner mess the party is probably going to want to pick a candidate that'll generate as little bad press as possible.
Basically: If Bellows gets third, Jackson is guaranteed the nomination because of Shah being an out of stater without heavy ties to the state party. If Shah gets third, it's probably a bit closer but Jackson likely still pulls through relatively easily. It's funny, despite being a staunch progressive, Jackson is actually the candidate with the most ties to the "establishment," atleast in Maine, which will greatly help him here.
Hard to say. The only polling we have of the race is internal polling/sponsored by the Walz campaign, which does show a potentially close head-to-head race, but it's something to take with a grain of salt.
If Morning Consult's numbers are accurate, Pillen isn't exactly super popular. He has a net +6 approval rating but falls short of a majority which, in a state as red as Nebraska, is problematic.
Given that, as well as the fact that Dan Osborn will perform very strongly at the top of the ballot, plus Lindstrom's newly announced candidacy, it's not necessarily *impossible* for Walz to eke out a win. But I wouldn't really call the race anything less than "Likely Republican" until further, independent polling comes out. Lindstrom apparently ran as a more moderate Republican in 2022, so it's very unlikely he doesn't peel off any potential Walz voters as well as Pillen voters. Walz would also probably need to at least match the 41% Democrats scored in the 2018 governor's race and likely need to score a few points higher (around 43-44%) to win in a three way election
Blackburn polling at 51%? Yuck.
Not sure about Rose but she'd probably be better than Fritts, unfortunately
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/democratic-candidate-bobby-pulido-tweets-homophobic-racist-slurs-rcna587358
TX-15: I couldn't read the full article since NBC paywalls now, but Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido apparently made racist and homophobic tweets in 2015.
If you want to argue about vetting, here's another example that isn't a left-wing populist.
given the social conservatism rampant in south texas, this is one of those occasions where maybe it doesn't hurt us as much, but jeez people need to learn to get off twitter if they are drunk and bigoted
I doubt this impacts the race much at all. They’re mildly bad comments from over a decade ago. All he has to do is apologize.
If anything, it might help him because clearly he’s not “woke.”
Not good but not campaign ending and should definitely apologize and move on. I would venture to guess most voters in this district don't care about decade-old social media posts though.
Off topic:
Here's a poll about who Democratic voters want as the nominee in Maine. I don't know how reliable it is nor how good this pollster is, but it could be an interesting look at what Mainers are looking for
https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/6931cd6da26b553260b5e813/6a53c8a575614ee83699ba49_bluepnt005%20Weighted%20Report%20(1).pdf
Looking at crosstabs, seems like Jackson is the preferred candidate of progressives and Shah the preferred candidate of moderates.
Given that the nominee will be selected by a convention polling might not be too useful, but if multiple polls show Jackson in the lead (especially by such a margin) those who are voting at the convention might feel more inclined/pressured to vote for Jackson. Not that I think it'd be needed... I think Jackson has a pretty easy path to the nomination. Both of his major opponents have some pretty big flaws.
Bellows has already run against Collins and lost resoundingly, and whether or not you think that's a fair criticism (I don't really think it is), it is something that convention voters might consider, as well as the fact she finished behind Jackson in the governor's primary and just doesn't seem to be a very inspiring candidate.
Shah doesn't really fit neatly into a political ideology which is probably a detriment given how Maine voters voted in the senate primary, and he's an outsider - as in, an out of stater, which probably wouldn't *hurt* too much in the general but I could see it being a point against him in the nominating convention. Plus his tenure as a health director in Illinois was bad enough for senator Duckworth to come out and call for him to not be nominated, and after the Platner mess the party is probably going to want to pick a candidate that'll generate as little bad press as possible.
Basically: If Bellows gets third, Jackson is guaranteed the nomination because of Shah being an out of stater without heavy ties to the state party. If Shah gets third, it's probably a bit closer but Jackson likely still pulls through relatively easily. It's funny, despite being a staunch progressive, Jackson is actually the candidate with the most ties to the "establishment," atleast in Maine, which will greatly help him here.
Jackson’s the obvious choice.
Assuming Lindstrom pulls more votes from Pillen, does Lynne Walz have a chance now to eke out a win?
There's also another third party candidate polling high single digits that seems to be on the left
Hard to say. The only polling we have of the race is internal polling/sponsored by the Walz campaign, which does show a potentially close head-to-head race, but it's something to take with a grain of salt.
If Morning Consult's numbers are accurate, Pillen isn't exactly super popular. He has a net +6 approval rating but falls short of a majority which, in a state as red as Nebraska, is problematic.
Given that, as well as the fact that Dan Osborn will perform very strongly at the top of the ballot, plus Lindstrom's newly announced candidacy, it's not necessarily *impossible* for Walz to eke out a win. But I wouldn't really call the race anything less than "Likely Republican" until further, independent polling comes out. Lindstrom apparently ran as a more moderate Republican in 2022, so it's very unlikely he doesn't peel off any potential Walz voters as well as Pillen voters. Walz would also probably need to at least match the 41% Democrats scored in the 2018 governor's race and likely need to score a few points higher (around 43-44%) to win in a three way election