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dragonfire5004's avatar

The poll I hinted about late last night. It’s an internal for the most left candidate too, so it’s likely Moskowitz would do even better here.

A 21 point shift left AND majority voter support for Democrats in the GCB already. In a Trump +9 seat.

Bombshell.

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2053611928115610045

Middle Seat poll | 5/5-5/6

US House 2026 | Florida’s 25th congressional district Democratic primary (Trump +9 | 2024)

(Initial ballot)

🟦Debbie Wasserman Schultz 36%

🟦Jared Moskowitz 29%

🟦Oliver Larkin 7%

(Informed ballot)

🟦Debbie Wasserman Schultz 29%

🟦Jared Moskowitz 28%

🟦Oliver Larkin 25%

——

Generic congressional ballot 2026

🟦Democratic 51%

🟥Republican 39%

🟦Larkin +12 (vs 🟥Singer)

🟦Larkin +9 (vs 🟥Moraitis)

(Larkin internal)

Link to poll: https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/FL-25-Polling-Memo.pdf

MPC's avatar

Be nice if DWS retired.

Julius Zinn's avatar

Absolutely. But she could also hold that 22nd district for Democrats and increase the chance of a House majority.

Kildere53's avatar

Moving NH's state primary to June is pretty much the first thing Ayotte has done as Governor that I actually agree with.

dragonfire5004's avatar

Shapiro is absolutely not the kind of Democrat we need in office right now. He’s going to win re-election and maybe even a trifecta, but he won’t get much done with it if this is how he’s treating Democrats who don’t align with his centrism in safe blue seats. This is the 2nd time he’s tried to take down Democrats who aren’t in his political ideology camp. A very bad look again, in a district that can easily elect a progressive.

https://x.com/PollTracker2024/status/2053613247702405507

Axios: Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro is quietly trying to derail a left-wing congressional candidate championed by AOC. #PA03

Shapiro and his team have privately told allies that he disapproves of Chris Rabb and has taken steps to block his path, according to three people familiar with the discussions.

Shapiro has privately advised Philadelphia's building trades unions to avoid inadvertently helping Rabb, the lone progressive in the race, by attacking one of his center-left opponents.

https://www.axios.com/2026/05/10/aoc-josh-shapiro-midterms-presidential-race

Kildere53's avatar

What exactly does Shapiro have against Rabb? I just read Rabb's Wikipedia page, and didn't see anything particularly objectionable in it.

In the PA-03 primary, I'm more anti-Sharif Street than anything else, since Street is a corrupt nepo baby. As far as I can tell, Stanford or Rabb would both be fine.

Julius Zinn's avatar

I think Shapiro, as someone who is Jewish, might believe Rabb's views on certain things may make him antisemitic. Rabb recently headlined a high-profile event with Hasan Piker, who for some reason is quite controversial with that topic.

Kildere53's avatar

Hmmm, thanks for sharing.

Techno00's avatar

Isn’t PA-03 one of the bluest seats in America? This is absolutely ideologically motivated.

Julius Zinn's avatar

It is the bluest, by several points! Worth noting Shapiro himself is from the neighboring 4th district, and he doesn't seem to have an invested interest to take out Madeleine Dean, who is further to the left of him.

RL Miller's avatar

couple of points about this. My org endorsed Chris Rabb and I ran a phone bank for him last week (doing another one tomorrow evening). Apologies for veering into the forbidden topic, but... it's the defining issue in the race, per Philly Inquirer. Stanford is heavily funded by 314 Action, which DropSite News is alleging is acting as a conduit for AIPAC money. (AIPAC actually did this, using 314 as the pass-thru, in a 2024 Oregon race) Stanford herself denies taking AIPAC money. Meanwhile, Rabb has hosted Hasan Piker and made comments regarding the Bondi Beach incident, which he has since walked back, so it's not hard to see where he stands on this foreign policy issue....and why Shapiro doesn't want to see him get a more prominent megaphone.

Anecdotes are not data but I talked to one voter last week who told me Rabb is the worst anti-Semite ever.

Techno00's avatar

Wait I thought the Bondi Beach thing was a staffer, and not Rabb himself?

RL Miller's avatar

I'm not super familiar with the details. But the perception is out there.

FeingoldFan's avatar

Still though, if you’re employing antisemites and not noticing that they’re posting antisemitic content on your campaign account until months later, that’s a sign of either incompetence or not caring about the antisemitism until there is a backlash.

Techno00's avatar

I’m inclined to believe the former personally. Still not good.

FeingoldFan's avatar

Frankly, I’d be working to stop him from getting nominated too given his comments. Spreading conspiracy theories about antisemitic terrorist attacks is not ok.

Kildere53's avatar

It's really baffling how inflation is still high, ICE is murdering American civilians, scientific research and environmental protections are being gutted, Republicans are shredding the VRA to try to draw themselves a permanent House majority, and Christian nationalists control our military, along with a hundred other horrible things that Trump has done... and yet a small but well-organized group of people are trying to force the "defining issue" of these elections to be a situation on the other side of the world that is irrelevant to the lives of 98% of Americans.

Absolutely disgusting what they're doing. As I've said before, if Democrats underperform this fall, they're the ones I'm going to blame.

Techno00's avatar

Amen to that. Democracy is my personal #1 issue — I wish it was for others, but apparently not.

Mike Johnson's avatar

The real story is that a week after VA and Callis, a white Democrat, is actively trying to stop a black candidate from being elected. Notice, instead of uplifting Street or Sanford, he is working to oppose Rabb. That should be a scandal.

Kildere53's avatar

This is BS. All three major candidates are Black. Opposing one Black candidate is obviously very different from opposing all Black candidates, especially when the winner is going to be Black regardless.

Mike Johnson's avatar

Then he should support Sanford or Street.

MPC's avatar

A rare NH GOP-enacted election law that actually benefits the voters!

Foxx Navarro's avatar

I live in the San Antonio city council district where Maureen Galindo ran (and lost) last year. So funny to see all these new headlines pop up about her, lol. Don't regret my vote because she is one of the few SA politicians without a DUI but I don't think she even lives in the new TX35 (there's no overlap because SA D1 and TX35. I expect Garcia to win the runoff but the results will be interesting, Seguin/Floresville/et al is a strange place.

Robert Herring's avatar

Cleo Powell is a woman.