Platner released a poll last week showing him up 4%. That sounds about right. Currently, now Maine is D plus 14. If this current political environment for Republicans holds Collins could have a hard time overcoming that even with Platner's baggage.
IN-SoS: Probably you all know this already but "Beau" Bayh is actually Birch Evans Bayh IV, son of "Evan" who is Birch Evans Bayh III, son of "Birch" who was Birch Evans Bayh, Jr. son of Birch Evans Bayh, Sr. whose mother's maiden name was Evans.
I’m really high on Beau Bayh, especially if Morales wins renomination. Idk what his odds are of that in two weeks, but hopefully he pulls the whole “establishment is out to get me” victim card. GOP eats that slop up.
Bill Huizenga is also an overperformer. Ever since the district was redrawn to be competitive in 2022, he has won by double digits as Republicans statewide have done worse. Gretchen Whitmer won it in her 2022 re-election, and like you said, Trump only won it by single digits, even though Huizenga won it by double digits in both of those years.
If Collins is releasing a poll by her, and Trump's pollster, showing her tied with Platner after the "sexting" story then she is probably losing.
At the moment.
But she is not down 7-10, either.
Platner released a poll last week showing him up 4%. That sounds about right. Currently, now Maine is D plus 14. If this current political environment for Republicans holds Collins could have a hard time overcoming that even with Platner's baggage.
Didn't her now-husband cheat on his late wife with her? Sounds like Collins is a homewrecker herself.
Thank you for the background on Lahn. It's so tough to find the truth in all the mucky water. I appreciate it!
Caron Wedeking, subscriber and (reluctant) Iowan
IA-Gov: The stuff about how Lahn ended up divorced and marred to Koch's ex-wife sounds potentially interesting too...
IN-SoS: Probably you all know this already but "Beau" Bayh is actually Birch Evans Bayh IV, son of "Evan" who is Birch Evans Bayh III, son of "Birch" who was Birch Evans Bayh, Jr. son of Birch Evans Bayh, Sr. whose mother's maiden name was Evans.
I’m really high on Beau Bayh, especially if Morales wins renomination. Idk what his odds are of that in two weeks, but hopefully he pulls the whole “establishment is out to get me” victim card. GOP eats that slop up.
https://www.notus.org/2026-election/ken-paxton-lawyer-james-talarico-endorsement
TX-Sen: Dan Cogdell, who represented Ken Paxton during his impeachment trial, has endorsed James Talarico.
This guy gave money to Paxton less than a year ago. Crazy. I'll take it.
It occurs to me that, beyond an endorsement or fundraising, this guy would make a terrific surrogate for Talarico with Texas Republicans.
MI-04: New internal poll for state sen. Sean McCann has McCann leading Huizenga 48-45.
https://cdn.sanity.io/files/ifn0l6bs/production/ccda2c8d25bff941db386e92af5645f662b89017.pdf
MI-04 only voted for Trump 52-46. It's always been a fairly good Democratic pickup opportunity.
These would be the seats we would need to win considering the playing field has gotten thinner
we do not need to win this seat to secure a majority, to get above 230ish seats yes absolutely
Bill Huizenga is also an overperformer. Ever since the district was redrawn to be competitive in 2022, he has won by double digits as Republicans statewide have done worse. Gretchen Whitmer won it in her 2022 re-election, and like you said, Trump only won it by single digits, even though Huizenga won it by double digits in both of those years.